qt

📈 **FED LETTER** #QT
▫️ Economic activity continues to grow steadily.
▫️ The unemployment rate has stabilized at a low level in recent months, labor market conditions remain stable.
▫️ Inflation remains slightly elevated.
▫️ Uncertainty about economic prospects has increased further.
▫️ Risks of higher unemployment and higher inflation have increased.

📈 FED will continue to reduce the balance (#QT) - $5b per month.
▫️ The FED is attentive to risks for both sides of the dual mandate (inflation/labor market).
▫️ The FED is ready to adjust the monetary policy framework if U.S. macro data require it.

__**Next:** Live text coverage of the conference with J. Powell.__

Трамп, Китай і ФРС: велика гра починається
Тарифи падають — гроші ще ні.

Трамп заявив про готовність зустрітися з Сі Цзіньпіном.
«Він мій друг», — каже президент США.
Але це — на тлі ескалації: тарифи на китайські товари зросли до 125%.

📉 Китай відповідає митами.
📊 США вводять 90-денну паузу для інших країн, але КНР — під ударом.
💬 Хассетт: «Ми не у стані війни з Китаєм» — риторика м’яка, дії жорсткі.
---
🔍 Що це означає для ринку?

- Торговельна напруга — тригер для волатильності.
- Тарифи нестійкі, але поки що — чинні.
- ФРС не перейшла до QE, але очікування ростуть.
- Грошей мало — ринок чекає на стимулювання.

🕰️ Ключовий таймінг:
- Кінець 2025 року або березень 2026 — можливий перехід до QE, новий голова ФРС.
- Цикл змін — близько.
- Інвестори готуються до розвороту.
---
💡 Що робити?

- Тримай фокус на макро: ставки, інфляція, риторика ФРС.
- Відстежуй сигнали: заяви Трампа, переговори з Китаєм, зміни в монетарній політиці.
- Готуйся до весни: розворот може початися з новим головою ФРС.

#Binance #CryptoUkraine #FED #QE #QT #Trump #ChinaTrade #MacroUpdate #CryptoStrategy #Bitcoin #Altcoins #Inflation #InterestRates #MarketCycle #SpringRally #BinanceUA

📊 Fed May End QT Soon — JPMorgan & Others Expect Pause Ahead
JPMorgan and several major banks now expect the U.S. Federal Reserve to end its balance-sheet runoff (Quantitative Tightening, or QT) soon — possibly signaled at this month’s FOMC meeting.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell recently said the balance-sheet drawdown “may be nearing its end.”
QT means letting Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities mature without reinvesting them, which gradually removes liquidity from the system.
If the Fed pauses QT, it would slow the drain of reserves, making conditions a bit easier for financial markets.
Analysts say this could be supportive for stocks and bonds, though it’s not a guarantee — market reactions will still depend on inflation and economic data.
Bottom line: The Fed’s next move on QT could mark a major shift in liquidity.
Traders are watching the upcoming FOMC statement closely for confirmation.
#Fed #JPMorgan #QT #FOMC #Write2Earn
Disclaimer:
This post is based on public analyst commentary (including JPMorgan and Reuters reports) and is not financial advice. Always confirm with official Fed statements before making investment decisions.

🚨 JUST IN 🚨

🇺🇸 J.P. Morgan expects the Federal Reserve to officially end Quantitative Tightening (QT) next week. 💼📉
Markets are watching closely — this could signal a major liquidity shift and potentially fuel a new risk-on rally. 🔥
$BTC $XRP $SOL



#JPMorgan #FederalReserve #QT #markets #Bitcoin

🚨 EN ALTSEASON? HERE’S YOUR ANSWER! 🚨
There’s a hidden link between the Russell 2000 ($RUT) and Altcoins 👀
When small caps break out → liquidity floods → $SOL, $MATIC, $ADA , $DOGE, $XRP, $HBAR fly next 🚀

There are 2 triggers that start every Altseason 👇
1️⃣ End of QT / Start of QE
2️⃣ $RUT (Russell 2000 Index) making new highs 📈

💡 2017: No QT — Alts exploded 🚀
💡 2021: QE in full swing — Mega rally 🌕
💡 2025: QT slowing fast 👀

“Altcoins don’t rally when the Fed’s draining liquidity.”

⸻

🧠 The Setup Now

QT is fading fast.
Big banks expect the Fed to end QT by year-end, maybe QE restart in 2026.

The real signal = $RUT.
When small caps rise → risk appetite returns → liquidity flows into Altcoins 💧➡️💰

⸻

🔙 History Repeats

📅 Nov 2020:
$RUT breaks ATH → $SOL, $MATIC, $ADA , $DOGE explode 5–10x 🚀
By Jan 2021, Altseason in full swing.

📅 Nov 2024:
$RUT hits record highs → $XRP, $HBAR , $DOGE pump hard.
Then $RUT dips → Alts crash right after. Perfect mirror move 📉

⸻

🔥 Now – Oct 2025

$RUT just hit its highest weekly close ever 🏆
Liquidity is rotating back into risk-on assets.

✅ Small Caps lead
✅ Altcoins follow
✅ Crypto thrives on speculation

If $RUT prints 1–2 more green candles,
Expect the next Altcoin rotation wave by early November 🌊

⸻

💬 Before asking “When Altseason?”
Stop watching BTC dominance.
👉 Watch Russell 2000 ($RUT) —
The only chart that never lied.

🚀 ALTSEASON DOESN’T START WITH $BTC — IT STARTS HERE.

#Altseason #Crypto #Bitcoin #Altcoins #RUT #QE #QT #Liquidity #SOL #MATIC #ADA #DOGE #XRP #HBAR #Macro

🚨ESTA NUEVA SEMANA Nos enfrentamos a múltiples catalizadores macroeconómicos y geopolíticos, que convergerán para inyectar potencial combustible puro a los activos de riesgo. ¡Esto es lo que viene de golpe! 👇

1️⃣ RECORTE DE TASA de la FED y FIN del QT (29 de Octubre):
🔸El Movimiento: El recorte de tasas por parte de la FED está prácticamente asegurado. Podría venir acompañado del anuncio del FIN del Quantitative Tightening (#QT ), tal como sugiere JPMorgan.

💥Impacto: Menos restricción y MÁS DINERO 💸 en circulación. Esto es POSITIVO (+) directo para $BTC y altcoins, aliviando la presión de liquidez interbancaria.

2️⃣ ACUERDO COMERCIAL CHINA 🇨🇳🤝🇺🇸 EE.UU.:
🔸El Plazo: Trump dio como fecha límite el 1ro de noviembre para evitar el mega-arancel. Ya hay un pacto preliminar aprobado.

💥Impacto: Una clara señal de que se evitará el conflicto comercial. El sentimiento de riesgo global cambiará de cautela a optimismo agresivo, impulsando los activos de riesgo como Bitcoin.

3️⃣ JAPÓN y la NO Subida de Tasas (30-31 de Octubre):
🔹El Cambio: Las probabilidades de una subida de tasas en Japón han caído drásticamente (Polymarket: 91% de probabilidad de NO subida).

💥Impacto: EVITA la amenaza de VENTAS FORZADAS de activos de riesgo (como $BTC ) vinculadas al carry trade del yen. El estancamiento es positivo.

4️⃣ FIN del SHUTDOWN en #EE.UU. (Finales de Octubre / Principios de Noviembre):
🔹Las Fechas: Polymarket asigna grandes probabilidades de finalización entre el 27 de octubre y el 3 de noviembre.

💥Impacto Histórico: El fin de un shutdown es históricamente ALCISTA para el #SP500 (Ej: +10.3% en 2018-2019). Además, el fin desbloquearía la salida de dinero de la TGA hacia el sistema y facilitaría las APROBACIONES pendientes de ETFs de altcoins 📄.

📍 Conclusión: TODAS estas fuerzas convergiendo esta semana podrían ser el combustible puro que impulse a $BTC a superar con convicción su nuevo ATH y marque el inicio de una fase explosiva para las altcoins. ¡Prepárense!

叮叮24小時內TOP10加密貨幣新聞
1. 聯準會 (FOMC) 降息 25 基點，但主席鮑爾「鷹派」發言暗示未來寬鬆有限，市場信心受挫。
2. 「賣出新聞」上演！BTC 在 FOMC 會後跌破 110,000 美元，引發全網 massive liquidations (14.6 萬投資者 / 超 3 億美元)。
3. TradFi 支付巨頭加速佈局！Visa 宣布擴大支援四種新穩定幣與四條新區塊鏈；傳 Mastercard 擬 20 億美元收購 Zerohash。
4. 山寨幣 ETF 登場，Bitwise 的 SOL 現貨 ETF (BSOL) 首日淨流入達 6,950 萬美元，表現亮眼。
5. RWA 敘事迎來里程碑，代幣化平台 Securitize 證實將透過 12.5 億美元的 SPAC 交易上市。
6. 機構採用再進一步，DBS 與高盛 (Goldman Sachs) 完成首筆場外「銀行間」加密期權交易。
7. PoliFi (政治金融) 代幣劇烈波動，有關特朗普家族 8 億美元加密收入的報導持續發酵，引發監管關注。
8. 宏觀利多浮現，聯準會 (Fed) 預告 12 月可能終止量化緊縮 (QT)，或為市場釋放新流動性。
9. 加密產業集資 2.63 億美元備戰 2026 美國中期選舉，加大政治遊說力道爭取友善監管。
10. ETH 升級傳喜訊，「Fusaka」硬分叉在最終測試網啟動成功；一個沉睡 8 年的 ICO 地址轉移了 1,500 ETH。
趨勢判斷：空頭 / 風險規避
#加密貨幣 #Crypto #Bitcoin #BTC #Ethereum #ETH #FOMC #ETF #SOL #Stablecoin #Visa #Mastercard #RWA #TradFi #Liquidation #GoldmanSachs #Trump #QT

DEUTSCHE BANK CALLS FED QE COMEBACK—Balance Sheet EXPANSION in Q1 2026, Just Like They Nailed QT's End! 🏦📈🚀

Wall Street's crystal ball Deutsche Bank drops the liquidity bomb: Expects the U.S. Federal Reserve to START EXPANDING its balance sheet in Q1 2026—flipping from QT freeze to money-printing thaw amid growth slowdowns and liquidity crunches.

"Slowing growth and concerns about liquidity" fueling the pivot, per DB strategists—echoing their spot-on call last month when they predicted (and nailed) the Fed's QT end announcement at the Oct 29 FOMC, wrapping runoff Dec 1.

Money printer go brrr? Markets already buzzing—S&P futures popping, #Bitcoin eyeing $110K on easy-money dreams, bonds rallying. But inflation ghosts? DB says it's the "next logical step" post-QT halt, priming trillions in fresh juice for 2026 boom.

💭 QE revival = endless bull or 2008 deja vu? Stack sats or brace for bubbles—your move!

#DeutscheBank #FedQE #QT #Economy #Crypto

THE 2.4 TRILLION SHADOW IS GONE

The Federal Reserve just crossed a critical threshold. After three years and five months, the quantitative tightening (QT) program is officially over, and the implications for risk assets are massive.

The Fed successfully shrank its balance sheet by a staggering $2.43 trillion, bringing it to the lowest level since April 2020. This systemic liquidity drain unwound more than half (51%) of the emergency money printed during the pandemic era. The reduction was severe: $1.58 trillion cut from Treasury holdings and nearly $700 billion from Mortgage-Backed Securities.

The end of this unprecedented monetary tightening period removes a massive headwind for global markets. When the world's largest central bank stops sucking liquidity out of the system, capital flows seek higher returns. This shift provides powerful fundamental tailwinds for assets like $BTC and $ETH as we enter a new cycle fueled by renewed liquidity.

This is not financial advice.
#MacroAnalysis #QT #Liquidity #BTC #Crypto
📈

QT Ends, But the Fed’s Balance Sheet Keeps Shrinking

A concise explainer on why ending quantitative tightening doesn’t immediately stop balance-sheet declines, based on historical and current Fed behavior.

The Federal Reserve officially ended its current round of quantitative tightening (QT) on December 1, but that doesn’t mean the balance sheet will improve right away. As Benjamin Cowen noted, a similar pattern appeared in 2019: QT ended on August 1, yet the Fed’s balance sheet continued to fall throughout that month due to outstanding Treasury settlements. The final reductions weren’t reflected until mid-August.

Today’s environment is showing a comparable setup. Even though QT has concluded, lingering settlement flows and operational timelines mean the balance sheet may continue declining until early 2026. For crypto markets, this matters because liquidity trends tied to Fed policy often influence risk appetite.

A useful habit: track balance sheet data alongside rate expectations to better understand macro liquidity conditions.

#FederalReserve #QT #Write2Earn

Macro explainer optimized for Binance Square visibility

Disclaimer: Not Financial Advice
$BTC
$ETH
$BNB

#BITCOIN #bearish #MACD CROSS? LOOK CLOSER.

Last time this happened after #QT ended?
Bitcoin ripped +600%.

This is not 2021.
This is 2019 on steroids.

Monthly MACD crossed
Price held the 20MA
Macro fuel just returned

The crowd sees a trap.
Smart money sees a #Launchpad

🚨 MACRO QT ALERT! LIQUIDITY IS BACK DEC 1ST.

The Fed is stopping Quantitative Tightening (draining cash). This is the biggest bullish pivot since 2019.


Liquidity will flow back into risk assets, fueling the mother of all #altseasons . Don't be underweight.

Is your bag ready for the ultimate pump? 👇

#QT #Altseason #Macro #BinanceHODLerAT $TURBO $MBL $BTC

The $1INCH Trillion reason Altseason hasn't detonated.

Everyone is screaming "Altseason is dead," but they are missing the macro picture entirely. The persistent stagnation in high-risk, smaller-cap assets is not a failure of the crypto cycle; it is a direct function of central bank liquidity draining the system via Quantitative Tightening (QT).

When global liquidity contracts, capital immediately retreats from the edges of the risk curve. This is why assets like $XRP and $SOL struggle to find sustained momentum. The lack of fresh capital flow prevents the systemic rotation that ignites the explosive 2017 and 2021 booms.

The key inflection point is the end of QT, which could arrive as early as December. That moment marks Phase 1 of the Altcoin Cycle: the systemic rotation where Alt/BTC pairs dramatically outperform. Altseason is not canceled; it is simply waiting for the central banks to turn the spigot back on. Prepare for the liquidity flood.

This is not financial advice.
#Macro
#Liquidity
#CryptoCycles
#QT
#Altcoins

⏳

THE FED JUST FLIPPED THE SWITCH!
After three brutal years of QT, the Fed's money-sucking machine is OFF. Today marks the end of an era. Years of tight markets and suppressed liquidity are over. This isn't just news; it's a seismic shift. Billions are about to flood back into the system. Get ready. The market is about to go wild. This is your moment. Don't get left behind.
Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
#Fed #QT #MarketShift #CryptoNews #FOMO
🚀

🚨 QT ends on Monday — and markets expect another rate cut on December 10.

Two major liquidity signals hitting back-to-back could boost risk assets, including crypto.

The question now: is it enough to push the bear pressure away?

#Macro #QT #BTC #Crypto #FOMC

THE FED IS TRAPPED: QT IS DEAD

December 1, 2025, will be remembered as the day the Federal Reserve admitted defeat. After attempting to shrink the balance sheet by $2.4 trillion since 2022, Quantitative Tightening has officially ceased. This wasn't a choice; it was a forced retreat signaled by the complete exhaustion of the liquidity buffer, evidenced by the Overnight Reverse Repo Facility collapsing to near zero. Reserves are now dangerously close to the critical stress threshold.

For the second time in six years, the Fed has proven that the global financial system cannot tolerate sustained balance sheet reduction. The monetary experiment failed. This structural reality confirms fiscal dominance: when the next crisis inevitably hits, the only lever left is the printing press. This lack of an easy exit cements the long-term bullish case for scarce assets like $BTC and $ETH. The asset inflation cycle is just getting started. Position accordingly.

Not financial advice. Do your own research.
#Macro
#FederalReserve
#Liquidity
#BTC
#QT
🚨

**MARKET UPDATE: Fed Wraps Up Quantitative Tightening (QT)**

The Federal Reserve has officially ended its balance sheet reduction program, which had been shrinking its holdings from **$9 trillion** down to **$6.6 trillion**.

**What This Means:**

- **Liquidity is slowly returning** to the financial system.

- The era of aggressive balance sheet contraction is over — for now.

- This can support market sentiment and improve funding conditions over time.

**Potential Impact:**

While not an immediate "money printer" moment, the end of QT removes a headwind and may help create a more supportive backdrop for risk assets in the coming months.

**What to Watch:**

- **High-liquidity assets** that respond early to shifts in market conditions.

- **Projects with strong utility and fundamentals** that can benefit from improved sentiment.

- **Real-world use cases** gaining adoption regardless of market cycles.

**Bottom Line:**
A significant monetary policy chapter has closed. Stay alert, stay informed, and position for the gradual shift in liquidity dynamics.

*Markets move on expectations. Plan, don't predict.*

#FederalReserve #QT #Liquidity #MarketUpdate #Macro

$HIGH
$ALCX
$LA

FED SHOCKER: Liquidity Unleashed!

The Fed officially ended Quantitative Tightening today. Three years of relentless pressure on risk assets just vanished. The slow leak in the financial system is sealed. Liquidity stops falling. Markets don't just react; they reprice. This isn't a tweak. This is a pivotal moment. The atmosphere is shifting. Expect a volatility spike. Agile investors are rotating early. High-beta sectors and breakout-ready tokens will explode. $TNSR and $DYM are already capturing attention. These assets feel the impact first. The next 72 hours redefine everything. Get ready.

Not financial advice. Trade responsibly.
#CryptoTrading #Fed #QT #MarketShift #FOMO
🚀

FED BLINKS. 2.4 TRILLION REVERSAL.
The Federal Reserve just reversed course. Quantitative Tightening is officially OVER. They drained 2.4 trillion from markets since June 2022, crushing everything with 'higher for longer.' That era is DEAD. December 1, 2025 marks the day the illusion shattered. The liquidity floodgates are opening. $BTC and $ETH will EXPLODE.
Not financial advice. Do your own research.
#FED #QT #CryptoNews #BullMarket #FOMO
🚀