raydalio

One of the most influential investors on Earth — Ray Dalio, founder of the $150+ billion Bridgewater fund — is sounding the alarm again. According to him, the world is entering the final stage of a 75-year economic cycle that started after World War II. 📉
⚠️ Here’s what Dalio sees:
The Federal Reserve is acting like there’s a crisis — slashing interest rates and flooding the system with liquidity. But reality tells a different story: the economy is growing, unemployment is near record lows, and asset prices are soaring. 📈
Dalio warns this is classic late-cycle behavior: the system becomes dependent on cheap money and debt.
💥 What’s next for the U.S.?
Record budget deficits 💸
Endless bond issuance 🏦
Potential debt monetization 💵 (hidden dollar devaluation)
History never lies: cycles like this always end with inflation, asset overheating, and sharp declines. The question isn’t “if” — it’s “when”. ⏳
Stay alert. Stay prepared. 🚀
#RayDalio #Finance #Crypto #Markets #Economy
--

One of the most influential investors on Earth — Ray Dalio, founder of the $150+ billion Bridgewater fund — is sounding the alarm again. According to him, the world is entering the final stage of a 75-year economic cycle that started after World War II. 📉
⚠️ Here’s what Dalio sees:
The Federal Reserve is acting like there’s a crisis — slashing interest rates and flooding the system with liquidity. But reality tells a different story: the economy is growing, unemployment is near record lows, and asset prices are soaring. 📈
Dalio warns this is classic late-cycle behavior: the system becomes dependent on cheap money and debt.
💥 What’s next for the U.S.?
Record budget deficits 💸
Endless bond issuance 🏦
Potential debt monetization 💵 (hidden dollar devaluation)
History never lies: cycles like this always end with inflation, asset overheating, and sharp declines. The question isn’t “if” — it’s “when”. ⏳
Stay alert. Stay prepared. 🚀
#RayDalio #Finance #Crypto #Markets #Economy

美元贬值正在加速，你还在纠结选黄金还是 BTC？桥水基金创始人 雷·达利欧（Ray Dalio） 给出了终极答案：成年人不做选择，两者都要！

根据最新的压力测试数据，将 15% 的投资组合分配给黄金和比特币，不仅是防范购买力损失的盾牌，更是财富增值的弹簧。

📉 “缓冲垫”与“弹簧”：十年数据复盘

我们对比了传统 60/40 组合在多次市场危机（2018, 2020, 2022 以及 2025 关税战）中的表现：

1️⃣ 回调期的“缓冲垫”：黄金 🥇

在 2018、2022 以及 2025 年的市场暴跌中，比特币由于高波动性通常会跟随股市下挫，但黄金几乎每次都能提供 5%-6% 的正收益，有效对冲了账户回撤。

2️⃣ 复苏期的“弹簧”：比特币 🚀

一旦市场情绪修复，BTC 的爆发力无人能及。

• 2020 年反弹：黄金上涨 111.92%，而 BTC 飙升了 774.94%！

• 2023 年反弹：BTC 上涨 40.16%，远超传统资产。

📊 核心结论：1+1 > 2

数据不会撒谎。一个同时包含黄金和比特币的投资组合：

• 夏普比率（Sharpe Ratio）：0.679

• 几乎是传统组合（0.237）的 3 倍！

• 远高于仅持有黄金的组合（0.436）。

💡 专家观点：

黄金负责在下跌时守住底线，比特币负责在反弹时拉升上限。这种“防御+进攻”的组合，是应对 2026 年联邦债务飙升和赤字支出的最佳武器。

⏳ 2026 观察窗：

自 2025 年关税恐慌复苏以来，BTC 目前暂时落后于黄金，但复苏周期要到今年 4 月才结束。历史经验预示，BTC 往往在复苏的中后期发力夺冠。

👇 你的投资组合里，黄金和 BTC 的占比分别是多少？欢迎评论区分享你的配置策略！
$BTC
$XAU

#RayDalio #比特币VS黄金 #资产配置 #宏观经济
#内容挖矿

Billionaire investor Ray Dalio has warned that the United States is on a dangerous path that threatens the U.S. dollar’s status as the world’s reserve currency. According to him, the mounting debt burden is eroding investor confidence and pushing capital into alternatives – namely Bitcoin, other cryptocurrencies, and traditional gold.

U.S. debt and the weakening dollar
In an interview with the Financial Times, Dalio pointed out that America’s rising debt is becoming a major risk not only for the dollar but also for other key reserve currencies. This structural problem, he said, explains the strong demand for digital assets, which are increasingly positioning themselves as “reserve currencies and stores of wealth.”
Dalio also noted that while dollar-backed stablecoins have gained attention following the passage of the GENIUS Stablecoin Bill, the real issue is not stablecoins themselves but the declining real purchasing power of U.S. Treasury bonds. As these bonds lose their appeal, investors are naturally seeking other options.

Bitcoin as an alternative to fiat
Dalio emphasized that the limited supply of Bitcoin and other digital assets makes them increasingly viable alternatives to traditional fiat money.

“If the supply of dollars grows while demand falls, cryptocurrencies naturally become attractive alternatives,” the billionaire stated.
According to him, this dynamic explains the current strength of the crypto market and growing institutional interest.

Gold hits historic highs
Alongside crypto, gold is also enjoying an enormous surge, crossing $3,600 per ounce for the first time in history. Since the start of the year, it has gained 33%, which is 3.5 times the return of the S&P 500 over the same period.
The macroeconomic backdrop, however, remains tense. The Fed is considering rate cuts at the upcoming FOMC meeting in September, while yields on 30-year U.S. Treasuries have soared above 5%. This has further fueled demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
According to the Kobeissi Letter, gold’s price development is also strongly correlated with Japanese bond yields, underlining its growing global importance.

Looking ahead
Some analysts remain long-term bullish on gold. Market strategist Benjamin Cowen stated:

“Gold is now at $3,500. I expect it to climb further through 2026, followed by a likely correction of 10–20%. But from a long-term perspective, we remain optimistic.”

#RayDalio , #bitcoin , #GOLD , #usd , #CryptoMarket

Stay one step ahead – follow our profile and stay informed about everything important in the world of cryptocurrencies!
Notice:
,,The information and views presented in this article are intended solely for educational purposes and should not be taken as investment advice in any situation. The content of these pages should not be regarded as financial, investment, or any other form of advice. We caution that investing in cryptocurrencies can be risky and may lead to financial losses.“