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🚨 THE FISCAL CLIFF: WHY JANUARY 14 COULD TRIGGER A GLOBAL DELEVERAGING EVENT
The market is walking on a tightrope, and almost nobody is looking down. While the headlines are focused on political theater, the Supreme Court is about to drop a hammer on the tariff structures that have sustained the Treasury’s revenue projections for the last year.
If these tariffs are struck down tomorrow, we aren't just looking at a policy change. We are looking at a systemic liquidity drain.
The Trillion-Dollar "Payback"
It’s not just about the lost revenue moving forward. It’s about the refunds. If the court rules these taxes were illegal from the jump, the government could be on the hook for hundreds of billions in immediate repayments to corporations and international entities.
When you factor in secondary "investment damages," some analysts see a hole in the trillions.
Why This Flushes the Market
When the Treasury needs to fill a massive hole instantly, they don't have many options:
Emergency Debt Issuance: Flooding the market with bonds, driving yields up and tech stocks down.
Liquidity Pullback: Institutional players will treat everything—stocks, bonds, and crypto—as exit liquidity to cover their new tax and legal liabilities.
The "experts" call this bullish because it's "pro-trade." They’re wrong. This is a Fiscal Shock Event. The chaos of refund litigation and sudden retaliation risks will hit like a freight train.
The Strategy
I’ve navigated three major market cycles, and the signs of a "top" have never been clearer. While the masses are buying the "good news," the smart money is preparing for the deleveraging.
I’m moving my capital into specific high-utility assets that can survive a liquidity crunch. If you want to see exactly how I’m positioning my portfolio for this 2026 volatility, drop a comment below.
$DASH $ZEN $IP



#BTCVSGOLD #DisciplinedTrading

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### **Technical Overview**:
- **Moving Averages (MA)**:
- The price is fluctuating around the short-term MAs (7, 25, and 99), and it appears to have just crossed below the 25-MA (pink), which could signal short-term bearish pressure.
- **MACD**:
- The MACD histogram has shown a slight recovery with green bars, suggesting momentum to the upside is gaining strength but isn't fully confirmed yet.
- The MACD line is still negative, suggesting overall weakness, but we may be seeing a potential reversal.

### **Trade Plan for Long Position**:
1. **Entry Point**:
- Look for a confirmed break above **$63,000**, as this would mean the price has broken through the key resistance levels marked by MAs and previous swing high.
- Ensure strong buying volume for confirmation.

2. **Take Profit (TP)**:
- First target could be **$63,600** (next swing high).
- Next target would be **$64,000** or higher, depending on the momentum strength and confirmation from volume.

3. **Stop Loss (SL)**:
- Place it slightly below **$62,300**, below the recent low of **$62,357.93**, to account for volatility.

4. **Duration**:
- This long position may play out over the next **6 to 12 hours**, but review every hour for confirmation of trend continuation.

### **Trade Plan for Short Position**:
1. **Entry Point**:
- A confirmed break below **$62,350**, which could be a signal of a deeper correction.

2. **Take Profit (TP)**:
- The first target could be **$62,000**, with potential to go as low as **$61,800**, where significant support levels are present.

3. **Stop Loss (SL)**:
- SL should be around **$62,900**, just above the current resistance formed by the short-term MA (25).

4. **Duration**:
- You can expect a **4 to 8-hour** duration if this downtrend continues, but be prepared to cut losses if the price starts showing signs of recovery.

### **Risk Management and Strategies**:
- **If the signal goes against you**:
- **Long Trade**: If the price drops below **$62,300**, close your long position as this would invalidate the uptrend expectation.
- **Short Trade**: If price breaks **$63,000**, consider exiting the short position as this would indicate buyers taking control.

- **General Strategy**: Use trailing stops to protect profits if the trade moves in your favor.

### Summary:
- **Long**: Enter around **$63,000** with targets around **$63,600** to **$64,000**.
- **Short**: Enter around **$62,350** with targets around **$62,000** to **$61,800**.

Always review the price action and volume for confirmation before entering the trade. Would you like further insights on specific signals or strategies?

**Disclaimer**: This is not financial advice. Please make decisions based on your own research.