📉 Bitcoin Structure Update: Why the 2026 Low Thesis Remains Intact
Current Status: $BTC has retraced to the $60k region.
Sentiment: Extreme Fear / "Cycle Broken" narrative.
Despite the drop, the structural thesis for a ~$25k cycle low in 2026 has actually strengthened. Here is why we are in Mid-Cycle Compression, not Exhaustion:
1️⃣ The "Pain Phase" vs. The "Boredom Phase"
History shows us that major cycle lows (like 2018 or 2022) require prolonged periods of low volatility and declining volume. We are currently seeing high-volatility drops. This is pain, but it isn't capitulation yet.
2️⃣ The Expectation Reset
Moves like this $60k drop are necessary mechanisms to reset market expectations. We need to transition from "Buying the Dip" to "Leaving the Market."
💡 My Takeaway:
Markets bottom when there is nobody left to speak. If you are looking for the entry of a lifetime, stop looking at the price and start looking at the silence.
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