$BTC is not moving because of news or sentiment. It is moving because the higher-timeframe structure has already completed.
After a prolonged uptrend, price stopped producing clean higher highs and instead shifted into shorter advances with increasingly shallow reactions. Every push up was sold faster than the previous one, which is not absorption or accumulation but distribution through exit liquidity.
The key signal was not the final breakdown itself, but how price behaved before it happened. Sideways action near the highs, following a strong trend, is rarely stability. More often, it is the market transferring risk from strong hands to weak hands.
As volatility compressed and ranges narrowed, the market was not “holding up.” It was building pressure. In this context, continuation to the upside requires sustained demand, which was visibly absent on the chart.
The sharp decline that follows is not a surprise event. It is simply the release of that pressure. The cause appears long before the effect, and the chart always shows it first.
This is not a prediction or a bearish opinion. It is a structural read based on context, behavior, and execution.
Markets do not move to be fair. They move to resolve imbalance.
