Bitcoin Outlook: The Trap, The Rally, and the Real Opportunity
A lot of traders believe the market has already found its bottom — but the bigger picture may still be forming. According to current price structure and historical behavior, Bitcoin could follow a three-stage movement before the next long-term bull cycle truly begins.
Short-Term Move — Possible Drop to 58K
In the near term, Bitcoin may first decline toward the $58,000 zone.
Two major technical levels sit there:
The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the previous bear cycle
The 200-week moving average, a level that historically acts as strong support
Price recently bounced near 60K but never actually touched these key supports. Markets usually complete unfinished levels, so a final dip toward 58K could finish the first correction phase (Wave A).
Mid-Term Move — Rally to 85K
After hitting that support, the market could surprise everyone with a strong bullish rally toward $85,000 (Wave B).
This is the dangerous part — many investors may believe the bull run has fully returned and enter the market heavily.
But historically, large rallies inside bear structures often create false confidence.
Long-Term Move — The Real Bottom Near 40K
The final stage could be a deeper correction toward the $40,000 area (Wave C).
This is where:
Liquidity below previous lows gets taken
Late buyers panic sell
Institutions accumulate quietly
Instead of being a crash to fear, this zone could become the best accumulation opportunity for long-term holders.
Big Picture
After a full three-wave correction, Bitcoin could enter its real expansion phase — potentially targeting six-figure prices in the coming years.
Investor Psychology
Many ETF buyers and late entrants tend to buy strength and sell fear. Markets often move opposite to crowd expectations:
Optimism near highs
Panic near bottoms
The key is patience — not chasing rallies, but waiting for maximum pessimism.
