$CRV is at a major crossroads. While the broader market shows flashes of life, DeFi is still lagging behind the big caps. According to the latest on-chain data, speculative flows into $CRV remain muted as capital rotates toward "safer" institutional assets.
📊 THE 4H TECHNICAL BREAKDOWN
Price is currently grinding inside a "fat" supply zone between $0.25 - $0.27. This area acted as rock-solid support in early 2026, but since it was broken, it has flipped into a heavy ceiling.
Current Trend: Lower Highs continue to dominate the structure.
RSI Status: RSI has rolled down from overbought territory back toward the mid-range (~50), suggesting the recent relief bounce is losing steam.
Volume Cluster: There is a significant volume profile cluster right at $0.25. If bulls can't hold this line, we are looking at a liquidity vacuum below.
📉 TWO SCENARIOS FOR TODAY
1. The Distribution Play (Base Case ✅):
I’m personally looking for a "stop-hunt" spike into the $0.26 - $0.27 region to scale into a short. This move looks more like distribution than true accumulation.
Targets: $0.235 → $0.22
Invalidation: A confident 4H close above $0.28.
2. The Reversal Breakout:
If CRV rips above $0.28 with high volume and the RSI pushes back over 60, the bearish thesis is dead. In that case, I’ll flip bias and hunt for longs toward the $0.30 - $0.32 resistance.
💡 PRO TRADER TIP
"Money follows momentum." Right now, CRV is fighting against a falling 200-day moving average (sloping down since Feb 11). Until we break that trend, every pump is a "sell-the-rip" candidate rather than a "buy-the-dip."
Trade with a plan, not with hope! 📈
