$BTC Bitcoin recently hit a structural turning point: the market has largely finished a major deleveraging phase (notably in futures) which some analysts interpret as reducing risk of immediate large-drawdowns.
From a medium-term perspective, some bullish forecasts suggest significant upside: one big institution projects BTC could reach around $170,000 within the next 6–12 months.
Seasonality: historically November has been one of the stronger months for Bitcoin, although the average gain is more modest than some headlines suggest (median closer to ~8.8 %).
⚠️ What’s concerning
In recent sessions, Bitcoin has broken below key support zones and important moving averages (for example, the 200-day EMA near ~$108,000) which increases short-term risk.
The price is in a tight compression between roughly ~$100,000 and ~$116,000. This “squeeze” often precedes a strong move — but direction is uncertain.
Market sentiment remains cautious: institutional flows and macro-factors (interest rates, dollar strength) are weighing on crypto risk appetite.
🎯 Key levels to watch
Support zone: ~$100,000 – if convincingly broken, next downside targets might lie near ~$94,000 or even ~$84,000 in a worst-case scenario.
Resistance zone: ~$116,000 and above. A break above that could open the door to ~$140,000+ in a stronger rally.
Neutral build-up: So long as price remains trapped between support and resistance, expect low volatility and building tension. The breakout direction will matter.$BTC
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