$BTC Short-Term Analysis (Very Short Version)
**Current Status (Nov 17, 2025):** BTC trading around $96,000, down ~1% in the last 24h amid ongoing ETF outflows and macro uncertainty, with a recent low near $95K. Market cap: ~$1.91T. Daily volume: ~$85B. Circulating supply: ~19.95M BTC (out of 21M max).
**Demand Level:** Moderate (6/10) – Institutional interest persists with $667M weekly ETF inflows earlier in Nov, but recent $870M single-day outflows (Nov 13) signal short-term weakness. Whale accumulation strong (10+ BTC holders at 47.2% of supply, 3-year high), plus corporate buys (e.g., MicroStrategy unrealized profits at $13.79B). Retail fear high (Fear & Greed: 14/100), limiting broad uptake.
**Supply Level:** Low (3/10) – Shrinking liquid supply due to HODLing and ETF absorption; new issuance minimal post-halving (~450 BTC/day). Vertical supply curve reinforces scarcity, with decreasing pressure from miners as prices stabilize.
**Key Drivers:**
- **Bullish:** Whale stacking (231 new big wallets), ETF rebound potential ($240M inflows Nov 7), and halving-induced scarcity driving long-term value.
- **Bearish:** Extreme fear, technical death cross, and outflows amid US govt shutdown risks; 26 bearish vs. 7 bullish signals.
**Very Short Prediction:** Bearish-biased neutral. Consolidation likely at $95K support; break below risks $91K, but demand rebound could push $102K by Nov 24. Targets: $114K (end-Nov upside on inflows), $91K (pessimistic low). Long-term hold; accumulate on dips below $96K.
For a visual, would you like me to generate a simple price chart image based on this? Let me know!