The markets are heating up fast after the latest CME FedWatch data flashed a massive shift:
๐ 71.3% chance of a 25bps cut in December (up from 33% earlier this week)
๐ Only 8.2% of traders think the Fed will hold rates steady
This is the strongest dovish swing weโve seen in months.
๐ฅ What Triggered This Sudden Shift?
๐ฌ Fed President John Williams dropped a major hint:
โA near-term rate cut is definitely on the table.โ
One sentence โ and traders piled into risk assets instantly.
๐ Consumer sentiment is collapsing
The University of Michigan index hit 50.3, one of the lowest readings ever.
Weak sentiment = higher probability of a cut.
๐ How Markets Reacted
๐ฅ Bitcoin blasted above $83K as liquidity expectations surged
๐ฅ Ethereum reclaimed the $2,800 zone
๐ฅ Risk assets rallied โ equities, high-yield bonds, and meme-beta plays jumped
The entire market is positioning early for cheaper money.
๐ Why This Matters for Crypto
A 25bps cut in December would mark the third easing move this year.
That means:
Lower funding costs
More liquidity flowing into risk assets
Stronger upside momentum for BTC, ETH & alts
Short sellers in danger if the Fed confirms the cut
The โno-changeโ scenario is nearly dead โ the market is already pricing in a dovish December.
๐ The Real Catalyst Ahead
๐ฅ FOMC Meeting: December 9โ10
This is the moment everything gets locked in.
If the data holds, crypto could ignite again before the meeting even starts.
If you want daily macro + crypto updates like this,follow me and share this post โ letโs ride this trend early. ๐๐ฅ
#RiskOnSeason #CMEFedwatch #FedRateCut #MacroMoves #CryptoNews #BinanceSquare $BTC $ETH
