Bitcoin – End of Year Macro View (1D / Long-Term Cycle Analysis)

Looking at Bitcoin’s full-cycle structure, one thing remains consistent:

every major bull run has been followed by a deep but controlled correction — and each correction has been structurally similar.

📉 Historical Pullbacks in Bull Cycles

2013–2015: ~-65%

2017–2018: ~-59%

2021–2022: ~-60%

Current cycle projection: -60% to -66%

These corrections occurred above long-term moving averages, preserving the macro uptrend.

📊 What the Chart Is Telling Us

Price remains above the long-term trend (blue MA) → macro trend is still bullish

Red volatility bands show cycle tops form before deep retracements

The current structure suggests a healthy correction zone, not a trend reversal

If history rhymes:

A controlled retracement into the highlighted zone would be normal, not bearish

Such phases historically reset momentum and prepare the next expansion leg

Patience has always been rewarded in this market. $BTC