Polymarket traders are assigning just 21% odds to Bitcoin hitting $150K in 2026, despite an 80% chance of reaching $100K.

This cautious sentiment reflects uncertainty around Bitcoin's four-year halving cycle after a red 2025 close, even as analysts from Standard Chartered and Bernstein remain bullish on $150K targets.

What drives your 2026 BTC forecast—Polymarket wisdom or bolder predictions?

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