RUSSIA ON VENEZUELA: “Illegal, But Logical”

The Kremlin delivered a calculated message. While formally condemning U.S. operations in Venezuela as a violation of international law, Moscow added an unexpected qualifier, describing Trump’s actions as “consistent” with U.S. strategic interests.

This goes beyond criticism; it reflects an acknowledgment of real power dynamics.

The Breakdown:

The Legal Stance: Russia reiterates that U.S. intervention violates international law and national sovereignty.

The Strategic Acknowledgment: By calling the actions “consistent,” Moscow signals that it views the U.S. as acting rationally to secure its sphere of influence.

The Energy Dimension: With Venezuela holding the world’s largest proven oil reserves, Russia recognizes this as a strategic contest over global energy leverage rather than pure ideology.

Market and Diplomatic Implications:

Reduced Escalation Risk: The measured tone suggests Russia is not seeking a direct military confrontation.

Geopolitical Realignment: Moscow may be indicating openness to negotiating spheres of influence instead of engaging in a costly proxy conflict.

Energy Market Impact: The absence of a hard Russian response could ease geopolitical risk premiums in oil markets, potentially softening crude prices.

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