📉 Bitcoin Short Plan

🔴 Primary Scenario (High-Probability Setup)

Liquidity Sweep → Reversal Short

• Zone of interest: ~$96,000 (marked red box)

• Expect a liquidation hunt / stop run above recent highs

• Look for:

• Long wicks / rejection at the highs

• Bearish displacement on LTF (5m–15m)

• Market structure shift (lower high after sweep)

Execution:

• Enter short after confirmation, not on first touch

• Stop-loss: Above sweep high

• Targets:

• Previous range low

• Untapped liquidity below

• VWAP / 200 EMA confluence

🧠 Logic: Smart money grabs late longs before distributing.

⸻

🟡 Alternative Scenario

Trend Breakdown → Fib Retest Short

• If price fails to reach $96k

• Wait for:

• Breakdown of 1H uptrend swing low

• Bearish structure confirmation

• Draw Fibonacci from:

• Last impulsive low → high

• Look for retrace into:

• 0.618–0.705 (Golden Zone)

Execution:

• Short on rejection from golden zone

• Stop-loss: Above fib high

• Targets:

• Breakdown low

• Range midpoint

• Major HTF demand below

🧠 Logic: Trend failure + corrective pullback = optimal R:R short.

⸻

⚠️ Invalidation Rules (Very Important)

• No short bias if:

• 1H closes strongly above 96k with volume

• Structure continues making higher highs & higher lows

• In that case → stand aside or flip bias

⸻

🧮 Risk Management

• Risk per trade: ≤1–2%

• Avoid overtrading both scenarios

• Take only one clean setup, not both

⸻

🔑 Final Thought

This is a smart money–aligned plan:

• Liquidity first

• Structure second

• Entry last

If you want, I can:

• Convert this into a clean Instagram/X post

• Add exact entry/SL/TP numbers

• Review your chart screenshot and fine-tune levels

#BTCVSGOLD #btc #WriteToEarnUpgrade #Squar2earn #squarecreator