Trump era foreign policy has finally found its killer app turning regime change into a meme coin with a war crimes whitepaper.
War markets go brrr
Polymarket has basically speedrun from “wisdom of the crowd” to “casino of the coup” where a mysterious wallet prints 400k betting on Maduro like it had the DLC for foreign policy spoilers.
Then the platform argues about the legal definition of “invade” while millions sit locked in limbo proving that in web3 the only real sovereignty is over the terms and conditions.
Human lives as perp contracts
Now there are markets on whether the US will “take action” against Colombia or Cuba turning entire countries into volatility tickers for degen portfolio “diversification”.
It is marketed as price discovery but it looks more like a pay to win geopolitics simulator where the house edge is denominated in body counts.
DeFi but for empires
Khamenei’s future is trading like a mid cap alt 36 percent implied regime change APR post Venezuela as if war risk were just another yield farm.
“Greenland acquisition” sits there at low odds pumping on every Trump soundbite like a real estate NFT drop where the underlying is an entire Arctic landmass.
Spectacle as an asset class
Prediction markets promised to “democratize information” and ended up tokenizing the spectacle itself turning coups invasions and sanctions into content with a price feed.
The only thing truly decentralized here is responsibility everyone is just “providing liquidity” while pretending they are not literally speculating on who gets bombed next.