📢 Polymarket Refuses to Settle “US Invasion of Venezuela” Bets After Maduro Capture
The prediction market Polymarket has declined to pay out more than **$10 million in wagers tied to whether the United States would “invade” Venezuela, saying the recent U.S. military operation that captured Nicolás Maduro did not meet its contract’s definition of an invasion because it did not involve establishing territorial control. The decision has left a large number of bets unresolved and drawn criticism from users who expected payouts based on unfolding events. 
The situation follows reports that the Venezuelan stock market saw significant short-term gains in the wake of Maduro’s removal, with one index rising sharply over two trading days as investors reacted to political developments. 
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