$BTC BIG MARKET ALERT: The Next 24 Hours Could Be Highly Volatile 👀

Markets are entering a critical risk window as two major U.S. events unfold almost back-to-back — both capable of rapidly shifting sentiment across equities and crypto.

1️⃣ U.S. Supreme Court tariff decision (10:00 AM ET)

The Court will rule on the legality of Trump-era tariffs.

Markets are assigning roughly a 77% probability that the tariffs are overturned.

👉 If struck down, the U.S. government could be forced to refund a significant portion of the $600B+ already collected, potentially triggering a sharp repricing in risk assets.

👉 Even if authorities attempt to reintroduce tariffs through other legal channels, the process would likely be slower, less effective, and more uncertain.

The biggest risk isn’t policy itself — it’s market psychology.

Tariffs are currently viewed as market-supportive, so an unfavorable ruling could spark downside pressure in stocks and spill over into crypto.

2️⃣ U.S. unemployment report (8:30 AM ET)

Expected unemployment rate: 4.5% (vs 4.6% previously).

📉 Higher unemployment → rising recession fears

📈 Lower unemployment → recession worries ease, but expectations for rate cuts drop further

With January rate-cut odds already near 11%, strong labor data could all but eliminate near-term easing expectations, keeping monetary policy tight for longer.

🔥 Challenging setup for markets

• Weak data = growing recession anxiety

• Strong data = higher rates for longer

Either outcome points to increased volatility.

📌 Game plan:

Stay defensive, manage risk carefully, avoid excessive leverage, and be ready for sharp moves across BTC, altcoins, and global markets.

⏳ Next 24 hours = elevated risk. Trade smart.

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