🚨 HIGH VOLATILITY ALERT – NEXT 24 HOURS
Two major U.S. events are about to hit back-to-back — both can flip market expectations on growth, recession risk, and Fed rate cuts.
1️⃣ U.S. Supreme Court – Tariff Ruling (10:00 AM ET)
The Court will rule on Trump-era tariffs.
Markets are pricing a ~77% chance they get struck down.
If tariffs are overturned:
• $600B+ in collected tariffs could face refunds
• Alternative tariffs exist, but are slower & weaker
• Biggest impact = sentiment shock (tariffs are currently seen as market-supportive)
A negative ruling could trigger a sharp risk-off move, hitting crypto hard as well.
2️⃣ U.S. Unemployment Report (8:30 AM ET)
📊 Consensus: 4.5% (prev. 4.6%)
• Higher than expected → recession fears spike
• Lower than expected → rate cuts pushed further out
January rate-cut odds are already near 11%.
A strong jobs report could kill January cut hopes completely.
⚠️ No good outcome for volatility:
Weak data = recession panic
Strong data = “higher for longer” narrative
🔥 Volatility is almost guaranteed.
Trade light, respect stops, stay sharp.