#CryptoTrading. #technicalanalyst #Signal🚥.
📊 Technical analysis $SOL /USDT — 15min/1h timeframe
Current price ≈ 139.93 USDT
+2.51% recently, strong impulsive pump, new local high ~141.65, now small pullback after vertical breakout.
Price action & Bollinger Bands (15m/1h):
Price hugging upper BB (~139.53), explosive breakout from consolidation ~134–137.
Middle BB ~136.92 acting as dynamic support on pullback.
Lower BB ~134.30 — far below, bands strongly expanded due to high volatility.
Volumes:
Current vol ~171M — solid spike on up candles.
MA(5) ~1.42B, MA(10) ~867M — volume significantly increased during the rally, strong buying confirmation.
Key indicators:
• MACD — DIF 0.74, DEA 0.32, MACD 0.42, positive histogram expanding — very strong bullish momentum.
• RSI (6/12/24) ≈ 80.2 / 75.1 / 64.2 — heavily overbought (RSI6 >80), clear exhaustion signals after vertical move.
Powerful breakout with volume support. Extremely overextended short-term, momentum still very strong but topping risk is high.
🟢 Long (high risk — momentum continuation)
Entry: 138.5–139.5 (current or small dip)
TP1: 141.5–142.5
TP2: 145–147+
SL: 137.0–137.5 (below middle BB)
R/R: ~1:3+
Comment: Strong if holds above middle BB ~136.9 with sustained volume. Continuation likely while MACD bullish.
🔴 Short (high risk — fade the top)
Entry: 140.5–141.5 (retest upper BB / near high 141.65)
TP1: 138.0–137.0
TP2: 135.5–134.5
SL: 142.5+
R/R: ~1:3
Comment: Risky in strong pump. Needs sharp rejection + volume fade + MACD slowdown. Counter-trend play.
⚠️ Most likely scenario now
Continuation higher to 142–145+ if volume stays elevated and pullback remains shallow (above 138).
Very high probability of short-term pullback/consolidation to 137–138 (or deeper to middle BB) due to extreme RSI6 >80 and classic after-pump exhaustion.
Longs have clear momentum edge right now. Shorts only on obvious exhaustion signals (failed retest of 141.65 + big red candle + volume drop).