🚀🚀BTC FUTURE ANALYSIS
BTC saw a massive rally toward the $120,000+ range in late 2025, but the monthly candles for November and December showed heavy profit-taking (long upper wicks).
Current Price (Jan 2026): We are currently trading in a broad range between $89,000 and $96,500.
Buyer Behavior: Institutional "Whales" are using this monthly consolidation to accumulate. Notably, Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) just disclosed a purchase of 13,627 BTC at an average price of $91,519. This provides a massive "floor" of support in the $90k region.
📉 Mid/Short-Timeframe Analysis (4h & 1h Charts)
This is where the immediate "Bear Flag" pattern you noticed is most visible.
1. Seller & Buyer Battle (Order Flow)
Sellers (The Resistance): The $96,500 level is acting as a "brick wall." Every time price approaches this, sellers (likely short-term speculators and "tourist" capital) dump supply to protect their positions.
Buyers (The Support): Buyers are aggressively defending the $93,955 level. We see high buying volume whenever we dip toward $92k, as institutions try to match Strategy’s entry price.
2. Elliott Wave Perspective
Current Structure: We are likely in a Corrective Wave 4 (Horizontal or Flag) on the 4h chart.
The Prediction: Corrective waves usually resolve in the direction of the previous major move. Since the move into this flag was a sharp drop from $100k+, the wave theory suggests one more "Wave 5" leg down to flush out late longs before a true bottom is found.
🎯 Future BTC Behavior & "Accurate" Trade Plan
Based on the Bear Flag and the Net ETF Outflows ($681M recently), the most likely behavior is a liquidation hunt before a reversal.
The Signal: "The Springboard Trap"
The Move: Expect a "fake-out" pump toward $97,500 to trap early shorts, followed by a rapid breakdown below $93,955.
The Target: The price is likely headed for the $89,200 – $90,500 order block. This is where the "big money" (Strategy and other whales) has its buy orders sitting.