Bitcoin is trading near $91,000 on January 12, 2026, as market participants watch for a rare historical signal that could define the cryptocurrency's next major move. The world's largest digital asset is hovering just 4% below its year-ago price, a narrow gap that separates it from a pattern last seen in July 2020 before a major rally. The setup has split analysts between those warning of an approaching bear market and those pointing to technical factors suggesting a potential breakout.