ALERT: Political Risk Is Back on the Board 🚨
Prediction markets are flashing early warnings.
Polymarket now assigns a 29% probability to another U.S. government shutdown before January 31 — a signal markets can’t ignore.
This isn’t noise.
It’s risk being repriced in real time.
As deadlines approach:
Political uncertainty rises
Fiscal timelines tighten
Volatility premiums quietly rebuild
Markets don’t wait for headlines — they front-run dysfunction.
A shutdown doesn’t need to happen to matter.
The probability alone is enough to affect positioning across bonds, equities, and crypto.
When prediction markets move first, traditional markets usually follow.
Eyes are on Washington.
And the clock is ticking.