🚨 MARKET ALERT: TOMORROW MAY BE EXTREMELY VOLATILE 🚨
Two significant events in the U. S. are set to occur nearly simultaneously — together, these could alter perceptions about economic expansion, the likelihood of a recession, and interest rate strategies.
1️⃣ Supreme Court ruling on tariffs — 10:00 AM ET
The Supreme Court is nearing a decision regarding the legality of tariffs established during the Trump administration.
Current market trends suggest there is approximately a 77% chance that these tariffs will be overturned.
Should the Court rule against them, the government may have to return a large portion of the over $600 billion that has already been collected.
Although the administration still has alternative methods to impose tariffs, these alternatives are typically slower, more legally complex, and less favorable for the market.
Most crucially, the market currently perceives tariffs as beneficial to the economy.
A ruling that opposes them might lead to a shift in market sentiment — and this risk could affect equities and cryptocurrencies alike.
2️⃣ U. S. employment data — 8:30 AM ET
The unemployment rate is projected to be 4.5%, a slight decline from the previous figure of 4.6%.
If the report shows a higher rate than anticipated, it could heighten concerns regarding an economic slowdown heading towards recession.
On the other hand, a lower reading could alleviate worries about growth but would also push expectations for rate cuts further into the future.
At present, the chance of a rate cut in January is already minimal (around 11%).
A robust jobs report could eliminate that possibility.
This situation leaves markets facing two unwelcome scenarios:
• Weak data increases recession fears
• Strong data leads to prolonged tight monetary policy
This combination suggests that the next 24 hours could be a period of heightened volatility.
Remain vigilant, manage your risk prudently, and prepare for rapid price fluctuations.
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