🔥 $LTC is moving sideways, but there’s a subtle bullish undertone beneath the consolidation. No aggressive breakout yet, though price action hints at a potential upside tilt. On the 1H timeframe, a cautious long bias looks reasonable.
Volume analysis: Recent hourly pullbacks are occurring on relatively light volume — for example, 134K around 77.86 versus a much stronger 616K near 78.38. This suggests a lack of heavy selling pressure. With 24h volume near 5M, liquidity remains healthy.
Capital flow picture: Short-term data is constructive, showing inflows of +344K (5m) and +208K (15m). However, the 24h view still reflects a −4.97M net outflow. This divergence often signals a potential shift, where broader selling exists but near-term momentum may be turning.
Long Entry Plan – $LTC:
Preferred entry near 77.2 – 77.5, aligning with key support and the MA20
Aggressive entry possible around 78.49, but only with a tight stop
Stop Loss:
76.4, roughly 3% below entry, positioned under support and the lower Bollinger Band
Targets:
TP1: 80.25 (first resistance)
TP2: 80.91 (next resistance)
Why this setup?
Medium-term signals are neutral, but the split in capital flows points toward a potential reversal. Bollinger Bands are tightening, hinting at an incoming volatility expansion — favoring the upside as support holds and funding rates stay balanced. RSI remains neutral, leaving room for upward movement.
⚠️ Invalidation: If price loses 77.2, the bullish scenario weakens, opening downside risk toward 76.0 – 76.4.
