The U.S. releases fresh jobless data today at 8:30 AM ET, and markets are paying close attention.
📉 Expectation:
Unemployment is forecast at 4.5%, slightly down from 4.6% last month.
At first glance, lower unemployment sounds positive — but here’s the catch.
⚠️ Why the Data Is Tricky
Markets are stuck between two uncomfortable outcomes:
• Weaker data raises recession fears
• Stronger data delays interest rate cuts even further
Right now, the chance of a January rate cut is already very low (~11%). A strong labor report could erase those expectations entirely.
🔥 What to Watch
With major U.S. economic releases landing close together, the next 24 hours could bring sharp moves across stocks, bonds, and crypto — especially ETH.
📌 Bottom Line
No matter the outcome, volatility is likely. This is a moment where patience, discipline, and risk management matter more than chasing moves.
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