Oil prices are under strong selling pressure as easing geopolitical tensions around Iran have significantly reduced the risk premium that was previously supporting higher prices. The market is pricing in lower chances of supply disruptions, which has pushed both Brent and WTI into a sharp bearish move, reflecting a shift in sentiment from fear to risk-off positioning. In the short term, oil may continue to trend lower or consolidate unless fresh geopolitical shocks, unexpected sanctions, or supply-side disruptions emerge. However, downside momentum could slow near key demand zones, where bargain buying and OPEC policy signals may provide temporary support. Over the medium to long term, oil’s direction will largely depend on global demand recovery, central bank policy, and OPEC+ production strategy, making volatility a key theme for traders.

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