Bitcoin bearish analysis with successful signal
🔍 Market Structure
Short-term trend: Still bullish, but losing momentum
Price moved from 95,733 → 97,155, then started a pullback
Current price 96,579 is sitting near key support
📈 Moving Averages (Very Important Here)
MA(7): 96,712 → price is below → short-term weakness
MA(25): 96,565 → price is right on it
MA(99): 96,512 → major intraday support
📌 This zone (96,500–96,600) is critical
Holding above → bullish continuation possible
Breaking below → deeper pullback likely
📊 MACD
DIF < DEA
Histogram negative (-9.7)
➡️ Indicates bearish momentum building
➡️ Confirms this is a pullback, not strong continuation right now
🔊 Volume
Volume is decreasing
No strong buying pressure on the dip yet
📌 This means:
Sellers are active
Buyers are waiting, not aggressive
🧱 Key Levels
Support
96,500–96,450 (MA99 + structure)
If this breaks → next support 96,000
Worst case short-term: 95,700
Resistance
96,900
Strong resistance: 97,150
Break above 97,200 → bullish continuation toward 97,800–98,000
🧠 Scenario Analysis
✅ Bullish Case
Price holds 96,500
Forms higher low
MACD starts flattening
Target: 96,900 → 97,150
❌ Bearish Case
15-min close below 96,450
Volume increases on red candles
Target: 96,000 → 95,700
📝 Summary (Simple)
Trend: Bullish but correcting
Momentum: Weak / bearish short-term
Zone to watch: 96,500
Decision area: Wait for confirmation
