🔥 🚨 $BTC HISTORY REPEATS: 78 CRASH INCOMING📉🤯
Some traders are pointing to historical cycle patterns and suggesting Bitcoin could face a deep correction after another big upswing similar to past cycles where Bitcoin rallied strongly then retraced sharply. Indeed, past bear markets saw declines in the 7085 range after cycle peaks like the 84 drop after the 2017 top and 77 78 after the 2021 peak.
But history doesn’t guarantee future results and market structure evolves institutional participation, liquidity, macro dynamics, and market depth can moderate how crashes actually play out compared with earlier cycles.
📊 Why This Echoes Past Cycles:
• In historical cycles e.g., 2017 → 2018, 2021 → 2022, deep drawdowns followed strong rallies as markets transitioned from distribution to heavy sell offs.
• Analysts note that Bitcoin’s cycle rhythm often shows a run up, peak, and decline pattern but the magnitude can differ each cycle.
📉 Fed Policy Adds Another Layer:
• Fed rate cuts may not happen as soon as markets hoped some major institutions now see no cuts in 2026 amid sticky inflation and solid labor data, which may tighten liquidity and pressure risk assets like Bitcoin.
• Persistent inflation and mixed macro signals are complicating the timing of monetary easing, risking a higher for longer rate environment.
📌 Reality Check
✔ A large BTC correction is possible if the cycle top has been reached and liquidity tightens.
❌ But a forced 78 crash to $70K $80K just because it “can’t hit $125K” isn’t guaranteed other cycle dynamics and macro liquidity conditions matter.
📈 What I Think
History gives us frameworks, not certainties. A deep drawdown remains within the realm of possibility if macro tightening persists and BTC fails near resistance, but markets don’t always follow straight fractals. Always watch real-time price action, support breaks, and volume before assuming a crash
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