If Bitcoin’s 4-year cycle continues to behave the way it always has, 2026 could become a major correction year 😱 — unless a truly disruptive catalyst changes the market structure.

Historically, Bitcoin doesn’t move at random. Its price action has followed a fairly consistent rhythm across every major cycle so far. When we look at past data, a clear pattern emerges: around two years after each halving, BTC has entered a deep bear market and eventually formed a long-term bottom.

Here’s how previous cycles played out:

2014: −87% decline (from ~$1,240 to ~$166)

2018: −84% decline (from ~$19,804 to ~$3,124)

2022: −77% decline (from ~$69,000 to ~$15,473)

Each cycle saw a slightly smaller drawdown, but the structure remained intact.

If this pattern holds for the current cycle:

Bitcoin may have peaked near $126,000

A typical 70–75% correction could place a potential bottom in the $30,000–$37,000 range

From my perspective, the market feels like it’s moving into the later phase of the cycle. Despite changes in liquidity, ETFs, and institutional participation, the 4-year Bitcoin cycle has stayed remarkably reliable — and so far, nothing has clearly broken it.

That brings us to the real debate:

👉 Will the 4-year Bitcoin cycle repeat again in 2026, or are we finally entering a “this time is different” era?

Drop your thoughts below 👇

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