🚨 BTC State Reserve Hype: Bull Trap or Real Breakout? Balanced Analysis + Risk Tips 🚨US states racing for BTC reserves (Texas $5M IBIT, NH $100M bonds) sounds bullish post-Trump SBR – but is the $100K pump coming or just FOMO noise?

Bull Case: Institutional scarcity boost, whales accumulating (10-10K BTC wallets), Fib extension to $110K if $98K holds. Long-term: BTC as treasury hedge vs fiat risks.Bear Reality Check: Fear & Greed at 26 (Fear), BTC below SMA50, MACD/RSI bearish divergence → risk drop to $90K/$70K on bear flag. Reserves are tiny vs $1.9T mcap; skeptics call it taxpayer gift to HODLers.

Smart Plays (No Over-Risking):Cautious Long: Buy dips $92K-$94K, SL below $90K, target $100K.Bear Prep: Short on $98K rejection; watch Ondo unlocks for vol.Your Move? If bearish like many pros, wait for confirmation – patience > FOMO.Thoughts? Stack or sidestep? 👇 #BTC #BitcoinAnalysis #CryptoRisk $BTC