Altseason 2026 is coming. 🔥
But first, you need to understand the REAL market cycle. $SENT
Crypto is not driven by: $SLP
- The 4-year cycle alone $SCRT
- Halving narratives
- Rate cuts headlines
It is driven by the Business Cycle.
The so-called "4-year cycle" only exists because:
- The last 3 global business cycles each lasted ~4 years
Bitcoin has always followed the Business Cycle, not the halving.
- Business cycle tops -> BTC tops
- Business cycle bottoms -> BTC follows
Even BTC’s price structure mirrors business cycle metrics.
For the past 3 years:
- The business cycle has been in contraction (sideways)
- The indicator never broke above 55
- Result -> no parabolic crypto moves
Why this time is different:
- US debt maturity was extended ~1.5 years post-COVID
- That likely extended the business cycle by ~1.5 years too
As long as the economy is slowing:
- Explosive crypto rallies are impossible
When the business cycle expands again:
- Bitcoin historically makes its biggest moves
Patience is alpha.
Hold.