$MELANIA ⚠️ MELANIAUSDT - THE PUMP IS OVER

📊 MULTI-TIMEFRAME EXHAUSTION ANALYSIS

Market Structure:

· 4H Chart: The pump from 0.1462 to 0.1872 (+28%) has hit a wall. While EMAs are still bullish, the 1H chart tells the real story.

· 1H Chart: Critical bearish divergence - price made a higher high at 0.1893, but RSI made a LOWER high (86.19 → 74.06). This is textbook momentum exhaustion.

· 15M: Distribution pattern - lower highs forming, volume collapsing from 12M to 2.6M. No buying conviction left.

Market Psychology:

· Meme Coin Pump & Dump: Retail FOMOed the +25% move. Smart money is now distributing.

· Order Book Reality: 53.23% Ask vs 46.77% Bid. Sellers are stacking above current price, waiting to exit.

· Volume Tells All: Spike to 69M volume during pump, now down to 2.6M - the party's over.

🎯 TRADE STRATEGY (DIVERGENCE SHORT)

Direction: SHORT

Entry Zone: 0.1850 - 0.1860 (Current price)

Take Profit (TP): 0.1745 (-5.7%)

Stop Loss (SL): 0.1895 (+2.4%)

Leverage: 50x

Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2.38

Why This Short Works:

1. Bearish RSI Divergence: 1H chart shows clear momentum loss.

2. Volume Collapse: No follow-through buying.

3. Resistance Rejection: Failed at 0.1893 multiple times.

4. Meme Coin Pattern: These typically retrace 50-70% of pumps.

⚠️ EXTREME CAUTION - MEME COIN

· Position size: 0.8% max capital. This is gambling, not investing.

· SL above recent high (0.1895) with buffer.

· These coins can pump randomly on tweets/news.

✅ CONFIRMATION TRIGGERS

· 1H candle close below 0.1840.

· RSI(14) on 1H breaks below 70.

· 15M volume surge on move down.

This is a momentum reversal play. The divergence is clear - I'm shorting the exhaustion of a meme pump.

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