🔴 Key High-Impact News in Your Image
1️⃣ AUD CPI (Inflation Data)
Measures inflation in Australia
Higher CPI = risk-off
Lower CPI = risk-on
📉 Crypto impact:
Low to medium impact globally. It can affect risk sentiment slightly but not a major crypto mover.
2️⃣ BOC (Bank of Canada) Rate Decision
Interest rate unchanged at 2.25%
Market focuses on tone (hawkish or dovish)
📉 Crypto impact:
Low to medium. Mainly affects CAD pairs, not Bitcoin directly.
🔥 MOST IMPORTANT: USD FOMC (Federal Reserve)
3️⃣ Federal Funds Rate
Current: 3.75%
If rates stay the same → neutral
Any hint of future cuts → bullish
Any hint of rate hikes or delays → bearish
4️⃣ FOMC Statement & Press Conference
This is the biggest market mover 🚨
Jerome Powell’s words matter more than the rate itself.
📊 Crypto Market Scenarios
✅ Bullish Scenario (Good for Crypto 🚀)
Rate unchanged
Powell sounds dovish
Mentions:
Inflation cooling
Possible future rate cuts
Economic slowdown risks
👉 Result:
BTC pumps
Altcoins rally
Risk-on sentiment
Strong bullish candles
❌ Bearish Scenario (Bad for Crypto 📉)
Hawkish tone
Says:
Inflation still high
Rates will stay high longer
No cuts soon
👉 Result:
BTC dump
Alts bleed
Liquidity leaves market
Fake pumps then sell-off
⚖️ Most Likely Outcome (Market Expectation)
📌 Volatile first, then direction confirms
📌 Initial spike both sides (liquidity grab)
📌 Real trend after press conference
🧠 Trading Tip (Important)
Don’t trade during FOMC release
Wait 15–30 minutes
Trade after structure forms
Follow BTC reaction first
🔮 Final Verdict
👉 Market direction depends on Powell’s tone
Dovish = Bullish
Hawkish = Bearish