Eurozone inflation for January is anticipated to decrease less than previously expected, according to a report by Claus Vistesen and Ankita Amajuri from Pantheon Macroeconomics. According to Jin10, the report highlights that recent inflation data from Germany and Spain have influenced this outlook. The strong GDP data for the fourth quarter of 2025 and a stable unemployment rate in the Eurozone are contributing to a policy stance that may delay interest rate cuts.
Pantheon Macroeconomics now forecasts the Eurozone's January inflation rate at 1.8%, up from an earlier prediction of 1.6%. In Germany, while inflation in electricity and gas prices has eased, there has been a significant rebound in food and core goods inflation. Additionally, persistent inflation in the services sector has offset the benefits of reduced energy costs. In Spain, although the overall inflation rate has decreased due to base effects, the core inflation rate, which excludes volatile items, has remained stable.