ETH is printing a massive "Sucker's Rally." If you’re longing this bounce, you aren’t trading—you’re donating.
I was looking at the heatmaps and saw a wall of retail buy orders getting stacked right into a slaughter zone. I whispered to myself: "They really think the merge/ETF/upgrade is going to save them here?" The whales aren't buying this dip; they’re engineering it. Here is the cold, hard institutional truth:
1️⃣ The "Fake-Out" at [Insert Current Price, e.g., $2,450]
ETH just tapped a psychological level and retail is screaming "Bottom is in!" Wrong. In SMC, we look for Inducement.
The Trap: Creating a small double-bottom to trick you into placing your stop losses just below it.The Reality: Those stops are exactly what the big players need to fill their massive "Buy" orders much lower at [Lower Target, e.g., $2,100].The Pivot: Unless ETH destroys [Key Resistance, e.g., $2,580] on the 4H timeframe, this is just a relief rally before the trapdoor opens.
2️⃣ The "Order Block" Rejection
Look at the 1H chart. We are heading straight into a Bearish Order Block at [$2,500–$2,530].
This is where the smart money liquidated their bags last time.Do you really think they’ll let you push past them easily?Expect a "wick of death"—a fast move up to grab liquidity followed by a violent reversal.
3️⃣ Gas Fees Low = Interest is Dead
When Ethereum gas is at 2-5 gwei, it’s not "cheap"—it’s quiet. There is no institutional aggression on the buy side. The "green" you see is just the market breathing before it dives back underwater.
✅ The "Brother" Strategy
The Bull Trap: Rejection at [$2,520] with decreasing volume. If you see this, get ready for a fast move to the downside.The Entry Zone: I’m not touching a Long until we see a Sweep of the Lows at [$2,380] followed by a displacement.The Target: If the mid-level breaks, we are sliding straight to the [$2,250] demand zone.
Stop being the fuel for the whales' jets. Put your hands in your pockets and wait for the "Smart Money" to actually show their hand
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