📉 Why BTC Is Still in a Downtrend
Price is trading below key resistance levels.
Moving averages (like 50 MA / 100 MA) are acting as resistance.
Volume on bounces is weaker than volume on drops.
Market sentiment is cautious after recent rejections.
As long as BTC keeps printing lower highs, the downtrend structure remains valid.
🔄 What Needs to Happen for a Breakout?
For Bitcoin to break the downtrend, we need:
Strong breakout above trendline resistance
Daily close above the last lower high
Increase in buying volume
RSI strength above 50–55 zone
If these conditions are met, BTC could shift momentum and target the next resistance zone.
📊 Possible Scenarios
Bullish Scenario 🚀
Break above resistance → Short squeeze → Momentum rally toward next major supply zone.
Bearish Scenario 🐻
Rejection at trendline → Retest of previous support → Possible sweep of liquidity below recent lows.
💡 Final Thoughts
Bitcoin often fakes breakouts before making its real move. Smart traders wait for confirmation instead of predicting.
Right now, BTC is at a decision point — the next breakout (up or down) could set the tone for the coming weeks.