Bitcoin ne last 24 hours me 2%+ volatility show ki hai. Short term pressure hai, lekin long term picture itni simple nahi.
What’s Supporting BTC (Bullish Side):
Whale Accumulation: 1,000–10,000 BTC holders $80k ke aas-paas aggressively buy kar rahe hain. Smart money panic sell nahi kar rahi.
Institutional Buying: Strategy (Michael Saylor) aur Metaplanet jaisi companies ne $483M+ BTC add kiya. Institutions ab bhi confident hain.
Macro Tailwinds: Global M2 money supply all-time high ke qareeb hai — history ke mutabiq ye BTC ke liye positive signal hota hai.
Risks You Can’t Ignore (Bearish Side):
Technical Weakness: EMA7 < EMA25 < EMA99 + MACD below signal = short-term downside ka risk.
Retail Interest Low: Google search interest near 1-year low aur $782M Spot BTC ETF outflows — retail abhi missing hai.
CME Gap: $87.8k–$88k ka unfilled CME gap short-term dip la sakta hai.
Sentiment Check: Market divided hai — kuch log January me $40k dip expect kar rahe hain, jab ke long-term holders 2026 me $150k+ ki baat kar rahe hain.
Bottom Line: Short term me volatility aur pullbacks possible hain. Long term trend abhi bhi institutions aur macro factors support kar rahe hain.
Blind bullish ya panic bearish — dono ghalat approach hain.
Not financial advice. Risk manage karo.$BTC
