🔵 Scenario A – Bullish Continuation (Primary Bias)
Conditions
Price holds above 1.62 – 1.65 (POC/HVN)
No 1H close below 1.47
Execution Idea
Prefer:
Pullback to 1.62 – 1.65
Or deeper pullback into 1.53 – 1.55
Entry:
Wait for lower timeframe bullish confirmation (15m CHoCH / absorption)
Targets:
1.72
1.78
Invalidation
1H close below 1.47
1. Market Structure (SMC)
NEAR is still trading in a clear bullish market structure on 1H.
Key observations:
Strong BOS above the previous range (~1.60)
Price continues to form higher highs and higher lows
The most recent pullback did not break the protected higher low (~1.47)
➡️ No bearish CHoCH on 1H so far.
➡️ Structure remains bullish continuation, not reversal.
2. Key Levels
🔴 Upside Liquidity
1.69 – 1.72
Current weak high
Buy-side liquidity resting above
High probability zone for:
Liquidity sweep
Short-term reaction or consolidation
🟢 Downside Support / Demand
1.62 – 1.65
High Volume Node (HVN)
Previous consolidation area
1.53 – 1.55
Demand + prior EQH
~1.47
Protected Higher Low
Structural invalidation level
📌 Only a 1H close below ~1.47 would invalidate the bullish structure.
3. Volume & Volume Profile
Volume
The impulsive move from ~1.55 → 1.69:
Accompanied by expanding volume
Confirms genuine demand, not a weak breakout
Recent candles near the high:
Volume is moderating, not climaxing
Suggests pause or pullback, not distribution yet
Volume Profile
POC currently sits around ~1.64
Price is trading above POC, in the upper value area
➡️ Acceptance above POC = bullish continuation
➡️ Loss of POC = short-term weakness, not structure break
4. Open Interest & Funding Rate
Open Interest
OI has been rising gradually during the uptrend
No aggressive spike at the highs
➡️ Indicates healthy trend participation, not late-stage FOMO
Funding Rate
Current funding: +0.008%
Interpretation:
Longs are paying
But not at extreme levels
No clear signal of imminent long squeeze
📌 Market is long-biased but not overcrowded.
5. Trade Scenarios
🔵 Scenario A – Bullish Continuation (Primary Bias)
Conditions
Price holds above 1.62 – 1.65 (POC/HVN)
No 1H close below 1.47
Execution Idea
Prefer:
Pullback to 1.62 – 1.65
Or deeper pullback into 1.53 – 1.55
Entry:
Wait for lower timeframe bullish confirmation (15m CHoCH / absorption)
Targets:
1.72
1.78
Invalidation
1H close below 1.47
🟠 Scenario B – Liquidity Sweep Then Pullback
Conditions
Price sweeps 1.69 – 1.72
Volume weakens near highs
OI rises faster than price
➡️ Expectation:
Short-term pullback into:
1.64
Or 1.55
📌 This is a pullback within an uptrend, not a trend reversal.
🔴 Scenario C – Bearish Reversal (Low Probability)
Only valid if
1H closes below 1.47
Followed by:
OI distribution
Funding flips negative
➡️ Until that happens, shorts are counter-trend trades.
Final Notes
Structure: Bullish
Trend quality: Healthy
Current price zone: Not ideal for chasing longs
Best approach:
Wait for pullback + confirmation
Avoid emotional entries near weak highs
#trading #TradingSignal #futures
✍️ Written by @CryptoTradeSmart
Crypto Insights | Trading Perspectives
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
NOT financial advice. Perpetuals trading is high risk - you can lose your entire capital. This is my personal setup for educational purposes only. Always DYOR, use strict risk management, and never risk more than you can afford to lose. You are solely responsible for your decisions.
Trade safe! 🎯
