Yo guys, checking SOL/USDT futures again real quick... Right now on Binance perp it's sitting at around $134.38 (down about 5.45% in 24h, high was ~$143, low dipped to ~$129.82). Funding rate positive ~0.0025%, longs still paying a bit — shows some bullish lean even though we're red. Volume's solid, over $3B+ in 24h, open interest around $1.4B — liquidity ain't drying up.
News is stacking heavy this January 2026:
- Morgan Stanley (big Wall Street bank) filed for spot Bitcoin + Solana ETFs just days ago (Jan 6-ish), first time a major US bank jumps in like this. They're even adding staking rewards to the SOL trust — huge signal that institutions are shifting toward SOL hard (skipped ETH for some reason?).
- Solana spot ETFs (Bitwise BSOL, Fidelity FSOL etc.) already over $1B AUM early 2026, pulling daily inflows like $9M+ some days while BTC/ETH sometimes bleed.
- Ecosystem looking strong: DeFi TVL ~$8.8-9B and holding/climbing, memecoins rebounding (DEX activity up, stuff like PONKE/Ore pumping big WoW), stablecoins flowing, RWA/tokenization deals (Galaxy + Superstate tokenized equity on Solana last year). Solana crushed revenue in 2025 (beat ETH on app fees), Firedancer upgrades coming for crazy TPS. Network active addresses and transactions still high.
- Whales & corporates stacking: Forward Industries holding 6.9M+ SOL (~$1B treasury value), $300M+ off-chain inflows recently.
Technicals: Oversold bounce vibe strong. Rejected that $130-132 zone hard (demand there), 4H bullish divergence showing, 50-day MA rising. Holding support = rebound setup.
My take & signal (next 5-10 days):
Bullish rebound high chance ✅ — news pile + oversold = pump feels coming.
- Break & close above $136-137 (recent high) = clear buy signal.
- Targets: Quick $142-145 first (6-8% move), then $148-152, stretch $155-165 month-end if BTC cooperates and ETF hype builds. Analysts eyeing $150-165 Jan close, some calling $200-500+ full 2026 with institutional push.
- Bear invalidation (unlikely short-term): Close below $130-132 = retest $125-128, but inflows/news make it feel low prob.
Trade idea (futures — stay careful):
- Long entry: $133.50-135 zone (dip or retest)
- Confirmation: 4H close >$136 + volume kick
- SL: Tight below $132 (fakeout protection)
- TP: Scale — 50% at $142, 30% at $148, trail rest
- Leverage: 3-5x max only — vol high, don't get rekt.
Jan outlook: Recovery kicking in. Down from 2025 ATH ~$294, but TradFi shift (ETFs, RWAs, treasuries) + ecosystem fire = upside loaded. Market wild tho — DYOR always, NFA 100%!
What y'all thinking on SOL? Longs, shorts, or waiting? Drop thoughts or charts 🔥📈 #Solana #SOLUSDT #Crypto #etf
