$BTC ≈ 92,680
MA(7) ≈ 89,690 is acting as minor dynamic resistance
Price Action
Strong sell-off from ~95,800
Local bottom formed at 87,263
Current price (~89,850) is a dead-cat bounce / corrective move
Momentum
RSI(6) ≈ 45 → recovering from oversold, but still below bullish zone
Volume spike on the bounce → short-term relief rally, not trend reversal
Key Levels
Support: 88,700 → 87,260
Resistance: 90,600 → 91,700
2. Intraday Trading Bias
Primary bias:
➡️ Short the rally (trend continuation setup)
Alternative bias:
➡️ Scalp long only if support holds (counter-trend, lower confidence)
3. Trade Setup 1 – HIGH-PROBABILITY SHORT (Preferred)
🔴 Short Entry (Scaling allowed)
Entry Zone:
90,400 – 90,800
Near prior support → resistance flip
Close to MA(7) & intraday supply
🛑 Stop-Loss
91,850
Above MA(25)
Invalidation of short-term bearish structure
🎯 Take-Profit Targets
TP1: 89,200 (safe partial)
TP2: 88,200
TP3: 87,300 (range low / liquidity sweep)
Risk–Reward:
≈ 1 : 2.5 – 1 : 3
4. Trade Setup 2 – COUNTER-TREND LONG (Lower Confidence)
⚠️ Use smaller size
🟢 Long Entry
88,600 – 88,800
Only valid if price holds above 87,260 and shows rejection wicks
🛑 Stop-Loss
87,150
Clean break below support invalidates longs
🎯 Take-Profit Targets
TP1: 89,700
TP2: 90,600
TP3: 91,600 (only if strong momentum)
Risk–Reward:
≈ 1 : 2
5. Trade Management Rules (Important)
If 4H closes above 91,800, invalidate all shorts
Trail stop to breakeven once TP1 is hit
Avoid entering mid-range (89,200–90,000) → poor R:R
Best entries occur near London / NY volatility
6. Quick Summary
Best Intraday Play:
✅ Sell rallies below 91,700
Bullish only if:
❌ Price reclaims and holds above 92,000 on 4H close
If you want, I can:
Refine this for 15m or 1H execution
Convert this into a Binance Futures setup (leverage & position sizing)
Mark exact liquidity zones and order blocks
Just tell me 👍
#BTC #btc70k #bitcoin #BTC走势分析
