🚨 $100B fließen aus Krypto, während die Ängste vor einem Shutdown der U.S. steigen

irfan495 · 2026-01-27T13:13:05.000Z

Hier ist die Realität hinter der Panik Die Ängste vor einem möglichen Shutdown der US-Regierung breiten sich schnell aus, und der Kryptomarkt reagiert scharf. Aber bevor die Emotionen die Oberhand gewinnen, ist es wichtig zu verstehen, was tatsächlich die Bewegung antreibt—denn es geht nicht nur um Schlagzeilen. Die US-Regierung muss neue Mittel vor dem 31. Januar genehmigen. Wenn die Gesetzgeber es nicht schaffen, eine Einigung zu erzielen, könnte ein Teil der Regierung vorübergehend geschlossen werden. Auch wenn das politisch klingt, kommt der echte Einfluss auf Krypto von den Liquiditätsbedingungen, nicht vom Shutdown selbst.

Here’s the Reality Behind the Panic
Fears of a potential U.S. government shutdown are spreading fast, and the crypto market is reacting sharply. But before emotions take over, it’s important to understand what’s actually driving the move—because this isn’t just about headlines.
The U.S. government must approve new funding before January 31. If lawmakers fail to reach an agreement, parts of the government could temporarily shut down. While that sounds political, the real impact on crypto comes from liquidity conditions, not the shutdown itself.
💡 Why a U.S. Shutdown Impacts Crypto
Crypto markets don’t move purely on news—they move on liquidity. The key concept here is the Treasury General Account (TGA), which functions as the U.S. government’s primary bank account.
When the government needs to refill the TGA, it does so by draining money from the financial system. This liquidity withdrawal puts pressure on risk assets. Since crypto sits at the higher end of the risk spectrum, it tends to feel the impact first—and the hardest.
🔮 Possible Market Scenarios
There are three main outcomes traders should be aware of:
1️⃣ Last-minute agreement, no shutdown
Funding passes just before the deadline. Markets could see a short-term relief rally, after which price action will likely depend on technical structure.
2️⃣ No deal, shutdown begins
This is the most bearish scenario. Liquidity tightens further, and risk assets—including crypto—could experience a sharp sell-off.
3️⃣ Deal passes, but liquidity remains tight
Markets remain slow and range-bound. This outcome has the lowest probability.
History offers a useful reference. During the previous U.S. government shutdown, Bitcoin and Ethereum both saw notable declines. If a shutdown occurs again, a similar pattern would not be surprising.
🧠 How to Trade This Environment
🔹 Futures traders:
Reduce leverage and avoid tight stop losses. Shutdown headlines can trigger sudden volatility and aggressive wicks.
🔹 Spot investors:
A shutdown-driven dip could present high-quality buying opportunities at discounted levels.
👀 Key Assets to Watch
Solana (SOL): bids below $120
Ethereum (ETH): bids below $2,000
XRP: bids below $1.20
Until clarity returns, patience and risk management are your biggest advantages.

🚨 $100B Flows Out of Crypto as U.S. Shutdown Fears Rise