If youâre not a billionaire, rent.
Yes, rent.â
Buying a house right now is how average people lock themselves into permanent financial mediocrity.đ„đž
If you want to buy your first home, wait for a 2008-style housing crash.đšđ§Ź
Iâve seen every cycle â the 2008 collapse, the 2020 blow-off top, and everything in between.
Look at the chart.đ„đ
The last housing bubble peaked around 266 in 2006.
If you think todayâs market is âstable,â youâre not early â youâre late and in denial.
This market isnât healthy.
Itâs frozen.
WHY BUYING IN 2026 IS A TRAP
Redfin data shows 36.8% more sellers than buyers.
Demand is at its weakest level since the 2020 lockdowns.
Thatâs not a pullback.
đ Thatâs a market that has lost momentum.
Most homeowners are locked into ~3% mortgages.
30-year fixed rates are stuck around 6.5%.
Translation?
đ Nobody can move. Nobody can transact.
There is no real price discovery.
Youâre paying full sticker price for an illiquid asset that hasnât been stress-tested by real volume.
Buying now means:
â Max monthly payment
â Minimal upside
â Peak duration risk
If youâre levered 5:1 on a house that goes sideways for years while you pay 6.5% interest, youâre not âbuilding equity.â
đ Youâre slowly bleeding capital.
Homeownership under these conditions is not an investment.
Itâs a liability dressed up as a dream.
THE REAL MACRO PLAY (NO ONE WANTS TO HEAR THIS)â
Wait for late 2026 into 2027.
Thatâs when the âweâll just wait it outâ crowd runs into reality:
â Divorce
â Job loss
â Relocation
â Retirement
â Cash-flow stress
Forced sellers will appear all at once, in a cooling economy.
Thatâs when prices actually reset.
Thatâs when patience gets paid.
IF YOU ABSOLUTELY MUST BUY
Buy like a predator, not a consumer:
â Assume your income drops 20%
â Keep LTV conservative (negative equity kills optionality)
â Only buy if you can survive 10 years of flat or declining pricesâ đ„
If that scares you, you canât afford the house.
#Write2Earn #USPPIJump #WhoIsNextFedChair #MarketCorrection #USIranStandoff