Bitcoin is hovering above the $75,000 weekly support — a level that’s now acting as the decision zone for the next major move. Price recently retested this area, and what happens here will shape the trend.
On the weekly chart, BTC is trading below the 20W and 50W moving averages, signaling weakness — but not a confirmed bear market yet.
Two scenarios are in play:
Scenario 1 – Bullish Reset
If Bitcoin holds the April 2025 low and stabilizes above $75k, this move becomes a healthy correction, not a trend break. The higher-high, higher-low structure stays intact.
A weekly close back above the 50W MA (~$100,400) would confirm momentum returning to the bulls.
Scenario 2 – Deeper Correction
If BTC loses the April 2025 low, structure breaks. $75k fails, and the door opens toward the $50k–$60k zone, a common reset area after major cycles.
What decides the direction?
Weekly closes above or below $75k
Holding or losing the April 2025 low
Hold both → upside remains alive.
Lose both → downside takes control.