strategy

Strategy absorbed a massive paper loss from bitcoin’s drawdown, sending its stock lower as Michael Saylor doubled down on long-term conviction and dismissed quantum fears.
This week’s crypto rout is now showing up clearly on corporate balance sheets.
Strategy (MSTR) reported a $12.4 billion net loss in Q4, largely driven by bitcoin’s sharp decline from its October highs. With BTC briefly slipping below $76,000, the company’s average purchase price, Strategy is now sitting on roughly $9 billion in unrealized losses after spending $54.2 billion to build its bitcoin position.
The result sent Strategy’s stock into another leg down. Shares fell more than 17% after earnings, hitting their lowest level in 18 months and leaving the stock down over 70% from last year’s peak. The firm still holds about 713,500 bitcoin, but its equity premium — long central to its strategy of issuing shares to buy more BTC — has largely evaporated.
This story is an excerpt from the Unchained Daily newsletter.
Management, however, struck a calm tone. CFO Andrew Kang emphasized that the company is designed to endure extreme volatility, while CEO Phong Le told investors that bitcoin would need to fall to $8,000 and stay there for years before Strategy’s balance sheet faced serious stress. Executive Chairman Michael Saylor echoed that message, calling the company a “digital fortress” and reiterating its long-term commitment to bitcoin.
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For now, Strategy isn’t signaling any forced selling. But with shares under pressure and the market questioning leveraged bitcoin exposure, Saylor’s conviction is being tested in real time.
Saylor also addressed a growing investor concern: quantum computing. He dismissed quantum threats as “horrible FUD,” arguing they are likely a decade away and would affect the entire financial system, not just bitcoin. He announced a new Bitcoin Security program to help coordinate work on quantum-resistant upgrades, stressing that bitcoin is “upgradable” through global consensus.
For now, Strategy isn’t signaling any forced selling. But with shares under pressure and the market questioning leveraged bitcoin exposure, Saylor’s conviction is being tested in real time.
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1:3 IS THE ONLY MAGIC NUMBER
Let's cut the BS. Most traders lose not because they can't read a chart, but because their math is broken. They risk $100 to make $100. That's a coin flip. In crypto, a coin flip is a fast way to get Rekt.
I have a strict rule: I never, ever enter a trade unless the potential reward is 3x the risk.
Why?
With a 1:1 ratio, you need to be right 51% of the time to make a profit.With a 1:3 ratio, you only need to be right 26% of the time to breakeven.Think about that. You can be wrong 7 out of 10 times and still make money.
THE "CASINO" MINDSET VS. THE "SNIPER" MINDSET
The market is designed to take your money. It's a machine that transfers wealth from the impatient to the patient.
The Casino Trader (The Loser):
Sees a green candle on $PEPE.Buys at the top because of FOMO.Sets no Stop Loss. "It will come back."Sells at -50% panic.
The Sniper (The Winner):
Identifies a key support level on $SOL.Sets a Stop Loss just below support (Risk: -5%).Targets the next resistance level (Reward: +15%).Ratio: 1:3.Takes the trade. If it hits Stop Loss, he doesn't care. It's just a business expense.
HOW TO CALCULATE IT (SIMPLE VERSION)
You don't need a PhD. You need eyes.
Entry Price: Where you buy. (e.g., $BTC at $95,000)Stop Loss: Where your thesis is invalid. (e.g., $94,000. Risk = $1,000)Take Profit: Where you sell.The Formula: To justify risking $1,000, your target MUST be at least $98,000 (Reward = $3,000).
If the chart says resistance is at $96,000, you skip the trade. Even if you think it will go up. The math doesn't work.
THE "SECRET SAUCE": DYNAMIC RISK MANAGEMENT 🤫
Here is what books won't tell you. The 1:3 ratio isn't static. It evolves.
The Free Ride Strategy:
Once price moves 1:1 in your favor (you are up the same amount you risked), move your Stop Loss to Breakeven.
Now your Risk is 0.Your Reward is still 3.You have literally removed the risk of losing money. This is how you sleep at night during a 2026 Bull Run.
YOUR ACTION PLAN FOR 2026
Step 1: Open TradingView. Use the "Long/Short Position" tool.Step 2: Never take a trade where the green box is smaller than 3x the red box.Step 3: Stop aiming for a 90% Win Rate. Aim for a high Risk/Reward.Step 4: Accept losses. A loss is just the cost of finding the next 1:3 winner.
CONCLUSION
Trading isn't about predicting the future. It's about betting big when the odds are in your favor and losing small when they aren't.
If you can control your Risk/Reward, you can survive any market crash. Even if you are wrong half the time, you will end up rich.
Follow for more Alpha. 🚀🇺🇦
Would you rather win 90% of small trades or 30% of massive ones? Be honest. 👇
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