📉 $TON/USDT Analysis: The "Zero Trend" Gravity
We are currently witnessing a textbook compression on the 1H timeframe. The market is deciding its next major move, but the immediate structure hints at further downside before any reversal.
Here is the breakdown of the attached chart:
1️⃣ The Structure:
Price is capped by a descending resistance trendline (white line). Every attempt to push higher has been met with selling pressure, forming lower highs. We are currently rejected from the $1.48 - $1.50 Supply Zone.
2️⃣ The "Zero Trend Level" ($1.406):
This is the critical pivot point shown on the chart.
Currently, price is gravitating towards this purple dotted line.
Why it matters: A breakdown below $1.406 confirms the local bearish trend and triggers a flush of liquidity.
3️⃣ Scenarios & Targets:
📉 Bearish (Primary): The white arrow on the chart projects the likely path. If we lose $1.406, expect a rapid move down to the major Support Zone ($1.25 - $1.30). This is the optimal area for spot accumulation or long scalps.
📈 Bullish (Invalidation): Bulls must reclaim the $1.50 Resistance to invalidate this setup. Only then do the upper "Target Zones" ($1.65 / $1.78) come into play.
🧠 Trader's Note:
Don't catch falling knives. The high-probability trade is to wait for the reaction at $1.406. If it breaks, ride the short to the main support.
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