Bitcoin in 2026: A new era after Halving and resistance test
Bitcoin in 2026 is at a fascinating, though turbulent moment in its history. After record increases following the halving of 2024, the market entered a phase of intense consolidation and correction. The beginning of 2026 brought significant declines, testing support levels around $60,000–$70,000.
Market situation: Consolidation after peaks
Investor capitulation: In February 2026, the market experienced large sell-offs, which analysts described as a phase of surrender during which many investors realized losses.
Exchange rate: After falling from around $126,000 in 2025, the price of Bitcoin is consolidating, often oscillating in the range of 60-70 thousand. USD, with attempts to maintain higher levels.
Forecasts: Despite short-term declines, Optimists predict that BTC could break $100,000 again, and some forecasts say even $150,000 by the end of 2026 if institutional demand returns.
Why is 2026 different? "Cracked" 4-year cycle
#trade $
The traditional model, in which halving (reducing the reward for miners by half, which took place in April 2024) causes an immediate, gigantic price increase, seems to be losing strength.
$USDC Institutional influence: Bitcoin is increasingly dependent on global liquidity and the actions of the Fed (US Federal Reserve System) than on the halving date itself.
#BTC Weaker growth: Increases after the halving of 2024 were smaller than in previous cycles, indicating that the market is maturing and becoming less speculative and more structural.
The main factors affecting BTC in 2026
Spot ETFs: ETFs that have accumulated significant amounts of BTC stabilize the price, but in moments of panic they intensify the sale.
#StrategyBTCPurchase Macroeconomic situation: Possible interest rate cuts by central banks may drive another wave of increases.
$BTC U.S. elections and regulations: The Trump administration's actions (potential "Strategic Bitcoin Reserve") could drastically change the market landscape.