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The market for the Official $TRUMP
token is at a critical technical and fundamental juncture as of February 16, 2026. Currently trading around $3.51, the asset has retraced significantly from its mid-2025 double-digit peaks, stabilizing near a historical support floor. While the immediate trend has shown a slight bearish bias with a -17.33% drop earlier in February, the recent 24-hour action shows signs of stabilization with a minor recovery of +0.66%. This "buy the dip" phase is fueled by major fundamental catalysts, including Trump Media's ongoing crypto expansion and the filing of new #Bitcoin /#Ethereum ETFs.
Trade Setup
Entry Zone: $3.25 – $3.55
Take Profit 1: $4.80
Take Profit 2: $5.95
Take Profit 3: $7.70
Stop Loss: $3.00
Short Market Outlook
Technical indicators suggest that $TRUMP is in an accumulation zone, with the RSI currently in the lower-neutral (oversold) range of 30.45. The price is trading below major daily moving averages clustered around $4.80–$5.90, which will act as the primary resistance for any recovery rally. On the fundamental front, the February 18 World Liberty Forum and recent government funding bills signed by the President are providing a more stable macro backdrop for risk assets. Long-term price forecasts for 2026 remain highly varied but optimistic, with targets ranging from an average of $7.18 up to $13.34 if political social interest returns.
Buy and trade here on $TRUMP
TRUMP
3.452
+1.08%
#trump #tradingstrategy
token is at a critical technical and fundamental juncture as of February 16, 2026. Currently trading around $3.51, the asset has retraced significantly from its mid-2025 double-digit peaks, stabilizing near a historical support floor. While the immediate trend has shown a slight bearish bias with a -17.33% drop earlier in February, the recent 24-hour action shows signs of stabilization with a minor recovery of +0.66%. This "buy the dip" phase is fueled by major fundamental catalysts, including Trump Media's ongoing crypto expansion and the filing of new #Bitcoin /#Ethereum ETFs.
Trade Setup
Entry Zone: $3.25 – $3.55
Take Profit 1: $4.80
Take Profit 2: $5.95
Take Profit 3: $7.70
Stop Loss: $3.00
Short Market Outlook
Technical indicators suggest that $TRUMP is in an accumulation zone, with the RSI currently in the lower-neutral (oversold) range of 30.45. The price is trading below major daily moving averages clustered around $4.80–$5.90, which will act as the primary resistance for any recovery rally. On the fundamental front, the February 18 World Liberty Forum and recent government funding bills signed by the President are providing a more stable macro backdrop for risk assets. Long-term price forecasts for 2026 remain highly varied but optimistic, with targets ranging from an average of $7.18 up to $13.34 if political social interest returns.
Buy and trade here on $TRUMP
TRUMP
3.452
+1.08%
#trump #tradingstrategy
MOMENTUM UPSIDE EXPECTED
$PARTI is showing strong bullish potential as it holds above key support levels and tests immediate resistance. A breakout above 0.1095 could trigger further buying pressure, aiming for higher targets in the short term.
Support: 0.104, 0.1015
Targets (TP): 0.114, 0.1157, 0.118
Stop Loss (SL): 0.102
#crypto
#tradingstrategy
$PARTI is showing strong bullish potential as it holds above key support levels and tests immediate resistance. A breakout above 0.1095 could trigger further buying pressure, aiming for higher targets in the short term.
Support: 0.104, 0.1015
Targets (TP): 0.114, 0.1157, 0.118
Stop Loss (SL): 0.102
#crypto
#tradingstrategy
$XRP Why I’m front running the $1.35 Wall on $XRP Tonight!!!!!
MIDNIGHT TURN JUST CLOSED!!!!!!!!!
I’ve just finalized my position, moving my main trap to $1.355.
$XRP Spot ETFs seeing over $1.3B in net inflows recently
Why $1.355?
THERE was lready a DIP to 1.35 TODAY!!!!!!!!!
The Front-Run: In high-fear environments (Index: 8/100), limit orders at round numbers like $1.35 or $1.40 often get left behind as bots buy 5-10 pips early.
Liquidity Wicks: I’m targeting the 3:00 AM stop-run. By sitting at $1.355, I get filled while the panic sellers are flushing.
I'm doing this with my 10,000 MKD budget because I want to grow my current 100 XRP stack!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Slow and steady wins the race!!!!!!
#XRP #TradingStrategy #CryptoInvesting
MIDNIGHT TURN JUST CLOSED!!!!!!!!!
I’ve just finalized my position, moving my main trap to $1.355.
$XRP Spot ETFs seeing over $1.3B in net inflows recently
Why $1.355?
THERE was lready a DIP to 1.35 TODAY!!!!!!!!!
The Front-Run: In high-fear environments (Index: 8/100), limit orders at round numbers like $1.35 or $1.40 often get left behind as bots buy 5-10 pips early.
Liquidity Wicks: I’m targeting the 3:00 AM stop-run. By sitting at $1.355, I get filled while the panic sellers are flushing.
I'm doing this with my 10,000 MKD budget because I want to grow my current 100 XRP stack!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Slow and steady wins the race!!!!!!
#XRP #TradingStrategy #CryptoInvesting
Α
XRP/USDT
στα
1,355
0%
BTC Stabilizing at $68K: Is the Worst of the Deleveraging Over? 📉🚀
Bitcoin is currently showing signs of stabilization around the $68,880 mark after a period of intense deleveraging. While the recent "historic crash velocity" saw BTC trade significantly below its 200-day moving average, the RSI is now flirting with oversold territory.
Key Takeaways:
Support levels: BTC is finding its footing, but all eyes are on the $70,000 resistance.
Leverage Flush: Futures open interest has dropped significantly, meaning a "cleaner" move upward is possible without as many liquidations looming.
Strategy: For long-term holders, this "distance from trend" has historically been a high-alpha entry zone.
Are you accumulation-mode or waiting for one more leg down? Let's discuss below! 👇
#Bitcoin❗ #BTC #CryptoMarket #tradingStrategy #BinanceSquare
Key Takeaways:
Support levels: BTC is finding its footing, but all eyes are on the $70,000 resistance.
Leverage Flush: Futures open interest has dropped significantly, meaning a "cleaner" move upward is possible without as many liquidations looming.
Strategy: For long-term holders, this "distance from trend" has historically been a high-alpha entry zone.
Are you accumulation-mode or waiting for one more leg down? Let's discuss below! 👇
#Bitcoin❗ #BTC #CryptoMarket #tradingStrategy #BinanceSquare
📉 $GPS /USDT: Fakeout Alert – Distribution at Play?
GPS attempted a recovery but failed to find any real follow-through. Every move into the 0.013+ zone is being met with heavy selling, suggesting distribution rather than accumulation. With momentum flattening at the breakdown point, the structure remains bearish.
• Trade Setup: Short
• Entry: 0.0129 – 0.0134
• Targets: 0.0122 | 0.0115 | 0.0108
• Stop Loss: 0.0142
Expect a sweep of the lower liquidity levels if this ceiling holds.
#GPS #CryptoAnalysis #ShortSignal #TradingStrategy #Binance
Click here to trade 👇👇👇
GPS attempted a recovery but failed to find any real follow-through. Every move into the 0.013+ zone is being met with heavy selling, suggesting distribution rather than accumulation. With momentum flattening at the breakdown point, the structure remains bearish.
• Trade Setup: Short
• Entry: 0.0129 – 0.0134
• Targets: 0.0122 | 0.0115 | 0.0108
• Stop Loss: 0.0142
Expect a sweep of the lower liquidity levels if this ceiling holds.
#GPS #CryptoAnalysis #ShortSignal #TradingStrategy #Binance
Click here to trade 👇👇👇
$HYPE Short Trade Update — Securing Gains and Downside Targets
In a recent short trade initiated on $HYPE, positions were taken within the 29.60 – 29.90 zone, with an average entry filled at 29.445. As of this update, the price of HYPE is currently trading around 29.211, showing a strong reaction to the anticipated downside movement.
This short position is currently running at a significant profit of approximately +40.05% (leveraged at 50x), affirming the initial bearish outlook. Given the positive progression, traders are now advised to implement a crucial risk management step: adjusting the stop-loss order to the entry price of 29.445. This move effectively secures the capital by eliminating the risk of loss on the initial investment, allowing traders to hold the position without fear of it turning negative.
The current price action suggests further downside continuation is likely, and the initial targets remain unchanged:
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 29.00
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 28.80
These targets represent key levels where further profit-taking could occur, or where the downtrend might find temporary support. While the trade is progressing favorably, it is always recommended for individuals to conduct their own thorough research (DYOR) and analysis before making any trading decisions. The crypto market is inherently volatile, and while strategies can guide, personal due diligence remains paramount.
This update serves as a reminder of the importance of disciplined trade management, especially in locking in profits and managing risk as a trade unfolds
#HYPE #CryptoTrading #ShortTrade #RiskManagement #TradingStrategy
In a recent short trade initiated on $HYPE, positions were taken within the 29.60 – 29.90 zone, with an average entry filled at 29.445. As of this update, the price of HYPE is currently trading around 29.211, showing a strong reaction to the anticipated downside movement.
This short position is currently running at a significant profit of approximately +40.05% (leveraged at 50x), affirming the initial bearish outlook. Given the positive progression, traders are now advised to implement a crucial risk management step: adjusting the stop-loss order to the entry price of 29.445. This move effectively secures the capital by eliminating the risk of loss on the initial investment, allowing traders to hold the position without fear of it turning negative.
The current price action suggests further downside continuation is likely, and the initial targets remain unchanged:
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 29.00
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 28.80
These targets represent key levels where further profit-taking could occur, or where the downtrend might find temporary support. While the trade is progressing favorably, it is always recommended for individuals to conduct their own thorough research (DYOR) and analysis before making any trading decisions. The crypto market is inherently volatile, and while strategies can guide, personal due diligence remains paramount.
This update serves as a reminder of the importance of disciplined trade management, especially in locking in profits and managing risk as a trade unfolds
#HYPE #CryptoTrading #ShortTrade #RiskManagement #TradingStrategy
$USDC (🔥 Is Bitcoin About to Explode? Don’t Miss This Move!
Everyone is asking the same question right now —
Is Bitcoin preparing for a breakout or another dip?
After a healthy correction, BTC is now sitting at a strong support zone where buyers previously stepped in aggressively. The market structure on the higher timeframe still looks bullish.
📊 What I’m Seeing: • Strong support holding
• RSI cooling down (no longer overbought)
• Increasing buying interest near current levels
• Liquidity resting above recent highs
If bulls defend this zone, we could see a quick 4–8% move upward.
But if support breaks with volume, a deeper pullback may happen before the next rally.
🎯 My Strategy: Entry: Near support
Stop Loss: Below recent low
Target 1: +4%
Target 2: +8%
Risk: Only 5–10% of total capital
Smart traders don’t chase pumps.
They wait for confirmations and manage risk.
The next 24–48 hours are very important for BTC.
Are you positioning early or waiting for confirmation?
Comment your bias below — Bullish 📈 or Bearish 📉 ?
Let’s see who reads the market correctly 👇
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #TradingStrategy #Bitcoin❗ ,Are you bullish or bearish?”
Everyone is asking the same question right now —
Is Bitcoin preparing for a breakout or another dip?
After a healthy correction, BTC is now sitting at a strong support zone where buyers previously stepped in aggressively. The market structure on the higher timeframe still looks bullish.
📊 What I’m Seeing: • Strong support holding
• RSI cooling down (no longer overbought)
• Increasing buying interest near current levels
• Liquidity resting above recent highs
If bulls defend this zone, we could see a quick 4–8% move upward.
But if support breaks with volume, a deeper pullback may happen before the next rally.
🎯 My Strategy: Entry: Near support
Stop Loss: Below recent low
Target 1: +4%
Target 2: +8%
Risk: Only 5–10% of total capital
Smart traders don’t chase pumps.
They wait for confirmations and manage risk.
The next 24–48 hours are very important for BTC.
Are you positioning early or waiting for confirmation?
Comment your bias below — Bullish 📈 or Bearish 📉 ?
Let’s see who reads the market correctly 👇
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #TradingStrategy #Bitcoin❗ ,Are you bullish or bearish?”
Binance Square Post: The BTC Dominance Play 📉
Headline: Is the Altcoin Spring Finally Loading? 🌸
As $BTC stabilizes above its recent support, all eyes are shifting to Bitcoin Dominance. We’ve seen a massive 2025/26 run, but the real question for every trader is: When do the Alts fly?
What the Data is Telling Us:
Liquidity Rotation: Historically, after a BTC peak, capital flows into $ETH and then high-utility Mid-caps. 💸
The "Burn" Factor: With Ethereum’s post-upgrade burn rate increasing, the supply shock is becoming real. 📉
Retail Sentiment: We are seeing a surge in "New Wallet" creations—usually a sign that the retail crowd is coming back for the Alts. 👥
My Strategy: I’m not chasing the green candles. I’m layering into projects with Real World Utility (RWA) and AI-Infrastructure while the noise is low.
Poll for the Community: 👇
Where is the next 5x? 🚀
1️⃣ Layer 2s ($ARB / $OP)
2️⃣ AI Tokens
3️⃣ RWA (Tokenized Assets)
4️⃣ Meme Coins (High Risk!)
#BTC $ETH #altcoins #TradingStrategy #BinanceSquare
Headline: Is the Altcoin Spring Finally Loading? 🌸
As $BTC stabilizes above its recent support, all eyes are shifting to Bitcoin Dominance. We’ve seen a massive 2025/26 run, but the real question for every trader is: When do the Alts fly?
What the Data is Telling Us:
Liquidity Rotation: Historically, after a BTC peak, capital flows into $ETH and then high-utility Mid-caps. 💸
The "Burn" Factor: With Ethereum’s post-upgrade burn rate increasing, the supply shock is becoming real. 📉
Retail Sentiment: We are seeing a surge in "New Wallet" creations—usually a sign that the retail crowd is coming back for the Alts. 👥
My Strategy: I’m not chasing the green candles. I’m layering into projects with Real World Utility (RWA) and AI-Infrastructure while the noise is low.
Poll for the Community: 👇
Where is the next 5x? 🚀
1️⃣ Layer 2s ($ARB / $OP)
2️⃣ AI Tokens
3️⃣ RWA (Tokenized Assets)
4️⃣ Meme Coins (High Risk!)
#BTC $ETH #altcoins #TradingStrategy #BinanceSquare
🚀 Smart BTC Accumulation Strategy
The market is showing interesting movements! If you’re looking to build your portfolio without the stress of "timing the top," a structured approach is key. Stop gambling, start positioning.
📊 Technical Snapshot:
Support Zone: Looking at the daily chart, BTC is holding strong above the 200-day EMA, signaling a healthy long-term trend.
RSI Levels: Currently hovering around 50-55, suggesting there is still plenty of room for upward momentum before hitting "overbought" territory.
Volume Profile: We see significant buying interest at current consolidation levels, forming a solid base for the next leg up.
💡 The Strategy:
Instead of going "All-in," use DCA (Dollar Cost Averaging). Buy in small increments during the dips to lower your average entry price and minimize risk.
Patience pays in Bitcoin. 📉📈
#StrategyBTCPurchase #CryptoInvesting #BTC #tradingStrategy
#StrategyBTCPurchase
The market is showing interesting movements! If you’re looking to build your portfolio without the stress of "timing the top," a structured approach is key. Stop gambling, start positioning.
📊 Technical Snapshot:
Support Zone: Looking at the daily chart, BTC is holding strong above the 200-day EMA, signaling a healthy long-term trend.
RSI Levels: Currently hovering around 50-55, suggesting there is still plenty of room for upward momentum before hitting "overbought" territory.
Volume Profile: We see significant buying interest at current consolidation levels, forming a solid base for the next leg up.
💡 The Strategy:
Instead of going "All-in," use DCA (Dollar Cost Averaging). Buy in small increments during the dips to lower your average entry price and minimize risk.
Patience pays in Bitcoin. 📉📈
#StrategyBTCPurchase #CryptoInvesting #BTC #tradingStrategy
#StrategyBTCPurchase
Rising Wedge vs. Falling Wedge
The counter-intuitive chart pattern every crypto trader must master and why the name alone will mislead you.
Understanding wedge patterns is one of the most powerful skills a cryptocurrency trader can develop. Once you grasp the underlying logic, you gain a real edge in reading market momentum and anticipating price reversals before they happen.
The simple answer that surprises most traders:
Rising Wedge = Bearish price is expected to fall
Falling Wedge = Bullish price is expected to rise
Yes, it’s counter-intuitive and that’s exactly what makes it so powerful.
What Are Wedge Patterns?
Wedge patterns are chart formations where two trendlines converge (get closer together) while both sloping in the same direction. This is what differentiates them from triangle patterns, where trendlines slope toward each other or one remains horizontal. The convergence reveals a critical imbalance one side is losing ground with every swing.
Rising Wedge Pattern Bearish
A rising wedge forms when both trendlines slope upward but converge. Price makes higher highs and higher lows, which looks bullish on the surface, but each rally gains less ground than the previous one. This reveals weakening buying momentum. Support rises faster than resistance.
When buyers finally exhaust, price typically breaks down below the lower trendline. It is essentially a “bull trap” that lures traders into thinking the uptrend will continue before dropping sharply.
SUCCESS RATES (RISING WEDGE)
Downward breakout occurs approximately 60% of the time
Break-even failure rate for downward breakouts: 51% (only ~49% succeed past break-even)
Average decline after downward breakout: 9%
Performance rank for downward breakouts: 36 out of 36 (last place)
Break even failure rate for upward breakouts: 19% (~81% succeed)
Average rise after upward breakout: 38%
Throwback/pullback rate: 72%
Based on Thomas Bulkowski’s research on 1,400+ samples (thepatternsite.com).
Falling Wedge Pattern Bullish
A falling wedge forms when both trendlines slope downward but converge. Price makes lower highs and lower lows, which looks bearish, but each decline covers less ground than the previous one. This shows weakening selling pressure. Resistance falls faster than support.
When sellers finally exhaust, price typically breaks out above the upper trendline. It is a “bear trap” that makes traders think the downtrend will continue before reversing upward.
SUCCESS RATES (FALLING WEDGE)
Upward breakout occurs approximately 68% of the time
Break-even failure rate for upward breakouts: 26% (~74% succeed past break-even)
Average rise after upward breakout: 38%
Performance rank for upward breakouts: 31 out of 39
Break-even failure rate for downward breakouts: 29%
Average decline after downward breakout: 14%
Throwback rate: 62% (upward) / Pullback rate: 74% (downward)
Based on Thomas Bulkowski’s research on 800+ samples (thepatternsite.com).
Key Differences
Rising Wedge: Both trendlines slope upward signals a bearish reversal with a downward breakout expected ( 60% of the time). Psychology shows weakening buyers losing momentum. Also called a “Bull Trap.”
Falling Wedge: Both trendlines slope downward signals a bullish reversal with an upward breakout expected ( 68% of the time). Psychology shows weakening sellers losing control. Also called a “Bear Trap.”
How to Trade Wedge Patterns
RISING WEDGE - SHORT SETUP
Entry: After a candle closes below support with volume confirmation
Stop Loss: Above the most recent high within the wedge
Target: Height of the wedge projected downward from the breakout point
FALLING WEDGE LONG SETUP
Entry: After a candle closes above resistance with volume confirmation
Stop Loss: Below the most recent low within the wedge
Target: Height of the wedge projected upward from the breakout point
Critical Confirmation Factors
1. VOLUME IS ESSENTIAL
Volume should decline during pattern formation (this occurs 72–79% of the time), then spike 2–3x the average at the breakout. Without this volume confirmation, the pattern is less reliable and may be a false breakout.
2. TRENDLINE TOUCHES
A minimum of 5 total touches (3 on one trendline and 2 on the other) is required to validate a wedge. Patterns with more touches are considered significantly stronger.
3. TIMEFRAME MATTERS
For cryptocurrency trading, stick to 4-hour and daily charts. Lower timeframes (5m, 15m) contain too much noise and tend to produce unreliable signals.
4. EXPECT THROWBACKS AND PULLBACKS
Bulkowski’s data shows throwback/pullback rates of 62–74% for wedge patterns. Price frequently returns to test the breakout level before continuing. Plan entries accordingly and do not panic during retests.
Common Mistakes to Avoid
TRADING TOO EARLY
Never enter before the breakout confirmation. Always wait for a full candle close beyond the trendline not just a wick touching it. Premature entries often result in getting trapped inside the pattern as it continues to consolidate.
IGNORING THE PRIOR TREND
Wedges are most reliable when they appear after a clear trend. A rising wedge is strongest after an uptrend; a falling wedge is strongest after a downtrend. Random wedges in choppy markets are far less predictable
POOR RISK MANAGEMENT
Always use stop-losses and never risk more than 1–2% of your trading capital on a single wedge pattern trade. The rising wedge bearish breakout succeeds only about 49% of the time, and even the falling wedge bullish breakout fails about 26% of the time. Proper risk controls are essential.
Why Wedge Patterns Work in Crypto
Wedge patterns are particularly effective in cryptocurrency markets for three reasons: 24/7 trading means no overnight gaps create cleaner, more reliable patterns; higher volatility means patterns form faster in 2–3 weeks vs. 6 weeks in stocks; and high retail participation means technical traders create self-fulfilling prophecies.
Note: Bulkowski’s statistics are based on stock market data. Crypto-specific success rates may differ.
Start by identifying completed wedge patterns on historical charts to train your eye. Mark the trendlines, note the volume behavior, and observe how the breakouts performed. Once confident with past patterns, move to real-time pattern spotting on higher timeframes where you have time to analyze before acting.
Key Takeaways
Rising wedge shows weakening upward momentum bearish (downward breakout ~60% of the time, ~49% success rate past break-even)
Falling wedge shows weakening downward momentum bullish (upward breakout ~68% of the time, ~74% success rate past break-even)
Always wait for volume-confirmed breakouts before trading
Use 4H or Daily charts for the most reliable signals in crypto
Minimum 5 trendline touches (3 + 2) required to validate the pattern
Expect throwbacks/pullbacks 62–74% of the time after breakout
___________________________________________________________
Full Article: https://chartscout.io/rising-wedge-vs-falling-wedge-crypto
Disclaimer: This is educational content only, not financial advice. Crypto trading involves substantial risk. Always do your own research and never invest more than you can afford to lose. lol its using old reference ignore it.
#cryptotrading #TechnicalAnalysis #cryptoeducation #tradingStrategy #chartpatterns
Understanding wedge patterns is one of the most powerful skills a cryptocurrency trader can develop. Once you grasp the underlying logic, you gain a real edge in reading market momentum and anticipating price reversals before they happen.
The simple answer that surprises most traders:
Rising Wedge = Bearish price is expected to fall
Falling Wedge = Bullish price is expected to rise
Yes, it’s counter-intuitive and that’s exactly what makes it so powerful.
What Are Wedge Patterns?
Wedge patterns are chart formations where two trendlines converge (get closer together) while both sloping in the same direction. This is what differentiates them from triangle patterns, where trendlines slope toward each other or one remains horizontal. The convergence reveals a critical imbalance one side is losing ground with every swing.
Rising Wedge Pattern Bearish
A rising wedge forms when both trendlines slope upward but converge. Price makes higher highs and higher lows, which looks bullish on the surface, but each rally gains less ground than the previous one. This reveals weakening buying momentum. Support rises faster than resistance.
When buyers finally exhaust, price typically breaks down below the lower trendline. It is essentially a “bull trap” that lures traders into thinking the uptrend will continue before dropping sharply.
SUCCESS RATES (RISING WEDGE)
Downward breakout occurs approximately 60% of the time
Break-even failure rate for downward breakouts: 51% (only ~49% succeed past break-even)
Average decline after downward breakout: 9%
Performance rank for downward breakouts: 36 out of 36 (last place)
Break even failure rate for upward breakouts: 19% (~81% succeed)
Average rise after upward breakout: 38%
Throwback/pullback rate: 72%
Based on Thomas Bulkowski’s research on 1,400+ samples (thepatternsite.com).
Falling Wedge Pattern Bullish
A falling wedge forms when both trendlines slope downward but converge. Price makes lower highs and lower lows, which looks bearish, but each decline covers less ground than the previous one. This shows weakening selling pressure. Resistance falls faster than support.
When sellers finally exhaust, price typically breaks out above the upper trendline. It is a “bear trap” that makes traders think the downtrend will continue before reversing upward.
SUCCESS RATES (FALLING WEDGE)
Upward breakout occurs approximately 68% of the time
Break-even failure rate for upward breakouts: 26% (~74% succeed past break-even)
Average rise after upward breakout: 38%
Performance rank for upward breakouts: 31 out of 39
Break-even failure rate for downward breakouts: 29%
Average decline after downward breakout: 14%
Throwback rate: 62% (upward) / Pullback rate: 74% (downward)
Based on Thomas Bulkowski’s research on 800+ samples (thepatternsite.com).
Key Differences
Rising Wedge: Both trendlines slope upward signals a bearish reversal with a downward breakout expected ( 60% of the time). Psychology shows weakening buyers losing momentum. Also called a “Bull Trap.”
Falling Wedge: Both trendlines slope downward signals a bullish reversal with an upward breakout expected ( 68% of the time). Psychology shows weakening sellers losing control. Also called a “Bear Trap.”
How to Trade Wedge Patterns
RISING WEDGE - SHORT SETUP
Entry: After a candle closes below support with volume confirmation
Stop Loss: Above the most recent high within the wedge
Target: Height of the wedge projected downward from the breakout point
FALLING WEDGE LONG SETUP
Entry: After a candle closes above resistance with volume confirmation
Stop Loss: Below the most recent low within the wedge
Target: Height of the wedge projected upward from the breakout point
Critical Confirmation Factors
1. VOLUME IS ESSENTIAL
Volume should decline during pattern formation (this occurs 72–79% of the time), then spike 2–3x the average at the breakout. Without this volume confirmation, the pattern is less reliable and may be a false breakout.
2. TRENDLINE TOUCHES
A minimum of 5 total touches (3 on one trendline and 2 on the other) is required to validate a wedge. Patterns with more touches are considered significantly stronger.
3. TIMEFRAME MATTERS
For cryptocurrency trading, stick to 4-hour and daily charts. Lower timeframes (5m, 15m) contain too much noise and tend to produce unreliable signals.
4. EXPECT THROWBACKS AND PULLBACKS
Bulkowski’s data shows throwback/pullback rates of 62–74% for wedge patterns. Price frequently returns to test the breakout level before continuing. Plan entries accordingly and do not panic during retests.
Common Mistakes to Avoid
TRADING TOO EARLY
Never enter before the breakout confirmation. Always wait for a full candle close beyond the trendline not just a wick touching it. Premature entries often result in getting trapped inside the pattern as it continues to consolidate.
IGNORING THE PRIOR TREND
Wedges are most reliable when they appear after a clear trend. A rising wedge is strongest after an uptrend; a falling wedge is strongest after a downtrend. Random wedges in choppy markets are far less predictable
POOR RISK MANAGEMENT
Always use stop-losses and never risk more than 1–2% of your trading capital on a single wedge pattern trade. The rising wedge bearish breakout succeeds only about 49% of the time, and even the falling wedge bullish breakout fails about 26% of the time. Proper risk controls are essential.
Why Wedge Patterns Work in Crypto
Wedge patterns are particularly effective in cryptocurrency markets for three reasons: 24/7 trading means no overnight gaps create cleaner, more reliable patterns; higher volatility means patterns form faster in 2–3 weeks vs. 6 weeks in stocks; and high retail participation means technical traders create self-fulfilling prophecies.
Note: Bulkowski’s statistics are based on stock market data. Crypto-specific success rates may differ.
Start by identifying completed wedge patterns on historical charts to train your eye. Mark the trendlines, note the volume behavior, and observe how the breakouts performed. Once confident with past patterns, move to real-time pattern spotting on higher timeframes where you have time to analyze before acting.
Key Takeaways
Rising wedge shows weakening upward momentum bearish (downward breakout ~60% of the time, ~49% success rate past break-even)
Falling wedge shows weakening downward momentum bullish (upward breakout ~68% of the time, ~74% success rate past break-even)
Always wait for volume-confirmed breakouts before trading
Use 4H or Daily charts for the most reliable signals in crypto
Minimum 5 trendline touches (3 + 2) required to validate the pattern
Expect throwbacks/pullbacks 62–74% of the time after breakout
___________________________________________________________
Full Article: https://chartscout.io/rising-wedge-vs-falling-wedge-crypto
Disclaimer: This is educational content only, not financial advice. Crypto trading involves substantial risk. Always do your own research and never invest more than you can afford to lose. lol its using old reference ignore it.
#cryptotrading #TechnicalAnalysis #cryptoeducation #tradingStrategy #chartpatterns
Miss Rozi:
Exactly! 🙌
Volume tells the story, patience makes the profit. Keep riding those wedges! 📊
📉 $JTO : The "Blow-Off Top" is Here!
$JTO is showing signs of a classic reversal after hitting a peak. The momentum is fading, and with high concentration among top holders, we expect a sharp correction soon. 📉
🎯 Short Setup
• Entry: 0.305 – 0.335
• Targets: 0.270 | 0.235 | 0.198
• Stop Loss: 0.365
Market Prediction: Aaj (Feb 18, 2026) price resistance se reject ho rahi hai. Is setup mein Profit ke chances high hain kyunki selling pressure build ho raha hai.
#JTO #ShortSignal #CryptoAnalysis #TradingStrategy #Binance
Click here to trade 👇👇
$JTO is showing signs of a classic reversal after hitting a peak. The momentum is fading, and with high concentration among top holders, we expect a sharp correction soon. 📉
🎯 Short Setup
• Entry: 0.305 – 0.335
• Targets: 0.270 | 0.235 | 0.198
• Stop Loss: 0.365
Market Prediction: Aaj (Feb 18, 2026) price resistance se reject ho rahi hai. Is setup mein Profit ke chances high hain kyunki selling pressure build ho raha hai.
#JTO #ShortSignal #CryptoAnalysis #TradingStrategy #Binance
Click here to trade 👇👇
$HYPE FADE ALERT: SELLERS ARE BACK IN CONTROL!
Entry: 28.9 🟩
Target 1: 27.6 🎯
Target 2: 25.9 🎯
Target 3: 24.2 🎯
Stop Loss: 32.0 🛑
$HYPE failed its breakout. The rally was weak. Sellers are crushing it at resistance. Lower highs are forming FAST. This is a textbook supply zone defense. Liquidity below the recent lows is the next target. Momentum is shifting DOWN. Get in NOW before it's too late.
Not financial advice.
#CryptoTrading #HYPE #TradingStrategy #FOMO 💥
Entry: 28.9 🟩
Target 1: 27.6 🎯
Target 2: 25.9 🎯
Target 3: 24.2 🎯
Stop Loss: 32.0 🛑
$HYPE failed its breakout. The rally was weak. Sellers are crushing it at resistance. Lower highs are forming FAST. This is a textbook supply zone defense. Liquidity below the recent lows is the next target. Momentum is shifting DOWN. Get in NOW before it's too late.
Not financial advice.
#CryptoTrading #HYPE #TradingStrategy #FOMO 💥
BAN EXPLODES +152%! PREPARE FOR LIFTOFF.
Entry: 0.025 🟩
Target 1: 0.05 🎯
Target 2: 0.07 🎯
Stop Loss: 0.015 🛑
This is elite strategy in action. We saw the structure. We timed the liquidity. We executed with pure discipline. This is not luck. This is the result of advanced analysis and unwavering execution. Capital protected. Profits secured. Momentum is building.
#BAN #CryptoGains #TradingStrategy 🚀
Entry: 0.025 🟩
Target 1: 0.05 🎯
Target 2: 0.07 🎯
Stop Loss: 0.015 🛑
This is elite strategy in action. We saw the structure. We timed the liquidity. We executed with pure discipline. This is not luck. This is the result of advanced analysis and unwavering execution. Capital protected. Profits secured. Momentum is building.
#BAN #CryptoGains #TradingStrategy 🚀
$PIPPIN is Crashing! 🚨 $0.53 Reached – Is it Game Over?
I warned you about volatility, but this is a real stress test! $PIPPIN just dropped to $0.53, losing over 25% from yesterday's highs.
Why the collapse?
-Liquidity Drain: Panic selling on Solana is triggering massive liquidations.
-New Floor Needed: We just smashed through the $0.65 and $0.60 supports. Now we are looking at $0.50 as the last line of defense.
My move: This is painful, but this is crypto. Many tokens that hit $1B market cap later had 50% drops on the way. The question is: is the AI-narrative dead, or is this just the ultimate "shakeout"?
Who’s still holding? Who’s out? Be honest. 👇
#Pippin #cryptocrash #solana #tradingStrategy #Write2Earn
I warned you about volatility, but this is a real stress test! $PIPPIN just dropped to $0.53, losing over 25% from yesterday's highs.
Why the collapse?
-Liquidity Drain: Panic selling on Solana is triggering massive liquidations.
-New Floor Needed: We just smashed through the $0.65 and $0.60 supports. Now we are looking at $0.50 as the last line of defense.
My move: This is painful, but this is crypto. Many tokens that hit $1B market cap later had 50% drops on the way. The question is: is the AI-narrative dead, or is this just the ultimate "shakeout"?
Who’s still holding? Who’s out? Be honest. 👇
#Pippin #cryptocrash #solana #tradingStrategy #Write2Earn
PEPE EXPLODES 1000%+ GAIN! $BTC
Entry: 0.000005 🟩
Target 1: 0.000008 🎯
Target 2: 0.000012 🎯
Stop Loss: 0.000003 🛑
This is the payoff. Relentless strategy. Unwavering discipline. We predicted this move. We capitalized. While the market churned, our positions solidified. Profit unlocked. This is how champions trade. This is the new reality. Don't get left behind.
Disclaimer: Not financial advice.
#PEPE #CryptoGains #TradingStrategy 🚀
Entry: 0.000005 🟩
Target 1: 0.000008 🎯
Target 2: 0.000012 🎯
Stop Loss: 0.000003 🛑
This is the payoff. Relentless strategy. Unwavering discipline. We predicted this move. We capitalized. While the market churned, our positions solidified. Profit unlocked. This is how champions trade. This is the new reality. Don't get left behind.
Disclaimer: Not financial advice.
#PEPE #CryptoGains #TradingStrategy 🚀
🎯 Trade Recap: $IP Short Execution – 90%+ Profit!
Success in trading isn't about catching every move; it’s about patience and execution in the right zones. Our recent short on $IP played out exactly as analyzed. Here is the breakdown of why this trade worked and what the charts are telling us.
📉 The Setup & Execution
Entry Zone: We identified a heavy resistance zone between 1.18 – 1.21.
The Trigger: As IP respected that zone, I entered a short position at 1.172 once the rejection was confirmed.
The Result: Price moved down with precision, slicing through our first target.
Exit: TP1 (1.15) was hit, and I closed the full position at an average of 1.147.
💰 The Gains
By staying disciplined and using 50x leverage, this move secured a massive +90.79% ROI.
🔍 Market Analysis: Why is it still bearish?
For those looking at the bigger picture, here is why the downside was expected:
Weak Daily Structure: IP is printing consistent Lower Highs, a classic sign of a downtrend.
No Bullish Reversal: We haven't seen any significant buying volume or a break of the bearish structure.
Controlled Selling: This wasn't a random spike; it was a clean, controlled continuation of the trend.
💡 Trading Tip: Always lock in profits at key levels. Don't let a winning trade turn into a loser by being greedy. Profits are only real once they are "Locked." 🔒
Current Status: Trade Closed. Profits Secured.
#CryptoTrading #IP #TechnicalAnalysis #ProfitUpdate #TradingStrategy $IP
Success in trading isn't about catching every move; it’s about patience and execution in the right zones. Our recent short on $IP played out exactly as analyzed. Here is the breakdown of why this trade worked and what the charts are telling us.
📉 The Setup & Execution
Entry Zone: We identified a heavy resistance zone between 1.18 – 1.21.
The Trigger: As IP respected that zone, I entered a short position at 1.172 once the rejection was confirmed.
The Result: Price moved down with precision, slicing through our first target.
Exit: TP1 (1.15) was hit, and I closed the full position at an average of 1.147.
💰 The Gains
By staying disciplined and using 50x leverage, this move secured a massive +90.79% ROI.
🔍 Market Analysis: Why is it still bearish?
For those looking at the bigger picture, here is why the downside was expected:
Weak Daily Structure: IP is printing consistent Lower Highs, a classic sign of a downtrend.
No Bullish Reversal: We haven't seen any significant buying volume or a break of the bearish structure.
Controlled Selling: This wasn't a random spike; it was a clean, controlled continuation of the trend.
💡 Trading Tip: Always lock in profits at key levels. Don't let a winning trade turn into a loser by being greedy. Profits are only real once they are "Locked." 🔒
Current Status: Trade Closed. Profits Secured.
#CryptoTrading #IP #TechnicalAnalysis #ProfitUpdate #TradingStrategy $IP
🚀 $1MBABYDOGE : Strong Support Holding!
Buyers are aggressively defending the 0.0003937 support level. Despite a recent pullback, the massive 1.77B volume suggests whales are accumulating at this discount. Meme sectors often reverse fast—don't miss the bounce!
📊 Trade Setup:
• Entry: 0.0003980 – 0.0003990
• Targets: 0.0004050 | 0.0004100 | 0.0004150
• Stop Loss: 0.0003940
🔮 Prediction:
The outlook is Bullish (Profit Potential). Today, February 17, $1MBABYDOGE is outperforming the broader market. As long as it holds above 0.00039, a rally back to the 24h high of 0.0004178 (TP3) is highly likely.
Strategy: Accumulate the dip and watch for the reversal!
#1MBabyDoge #MemeCoins #BinanceSquare #CryptoSignals #TradingStrategy
click here to trade 👇👇
Buyers are aggressively defending the 0.0003937 support level. Despite a recent pullback, the massive 1.77B volume suggests whales are accumulating at this discount. Meme sectors often reverse fast—don't miss the bounce!
📊 Trade Setup:
• Entry: 0.0003980 – 0.0003990
• Targets: 0.0004050 | 0.0004100 | 0.0004150
• Stop Loss: 0.0003940
🔮 Prediction:
The outlook is Bullish (Profit Potential). Today, February 17, $1MBABYDOGE is outperforming the broader market. As long as it holds above 0.00039, a rally back to the 24h high of 0.0004178 (TP3) is highly likely.
Strategy: Accumulate the dip and watch for the reversal!
#1MBabyDoge #MemeCoins #BinanceSquare #CryptoSignals #TradingStrategy
click here to trade 👇👇
🚀 ZK-Tech is Taking Over! Is $PROVE the Next Solana? 🔮
While meme coins are correcting, institutional money is silently flooding into Zero-Knowledge infrastructure. 🧠
Succinct ($PROVE ) just hit a new 24-hour high, and the volume is up 24%. This isn't just hype; developers are actively building on it because it solves the scalability bottleneck for Ethereum.
📊 POLL: ZK-Technology Breakout - Which coin will dominate in Q2 2026?
1. $PROVE
(Succinct) 🚀 /
2. $ZK
(Polyhedra) 💎 / 3. Other 🧐]
#prove #ZK #tradingStrategy
While meme coins are correcting, institutional money is silently flooding into Zero-Knowledge infrastructure. 🧠
Succinct ($PROVE ) just hit a new 24-hour high, and the volume is up 24%. This isn't just hype; developers are actively building on it because it solves the scalability bottleneck for Ethereum.
📊 POLL: ZK-Technology Breakout - Which coin will dominate in Q2 2026?
1. $PROVE
(Succinct) 🚀 /
2. $ZK
(Polyhedra) 💎 / 3. Other 🧐]
#prove #ZK #tradingStrategy
Crypto Daily #174
Trading during the weekend
Ever wondered why your weekend trades feel... different? It's not just you; the crypto market actually changes its vibe when the banks close!
You know how shopping malls feel totally different on a quiet Tuesday versus a buzzing Saturday?
🛍️ Well, crypto trading weekday versus weekend is kind of like that!
During the week, big institutional players bring massive liquidity, often leading to more predictable price movements for coins like Bitcoin ($BTC ).
But, on weekends, these big players often step away.
The market then becomes dominated by retail traders (that’s us!), leading to lower trading volume.
This shift is tricky because low volume makes it easier for smaller trades to cause bigger price swings, making 'fakeouts' more common and traditional technical analysis harder to trust.
Therefore, what looks like a strong breakout on a weekend chart might just be a low-volume squeeze, not a genuine trend.
My best friend tip? Always check the volume!
If you see a big move on Bitcoin (BTC) but volume is super low compared to weekday averages, treat it with caution.
This helps us avoid emotional decisions and keeps our capital safer.
Knowing this little secret means you’re already one step ahead, making you feel much more confident navigating those weekend charts! ✨
#WeekendTrading #VolumeAnalysis #TradingStrategy
- Disclaimer: Sharing knowledge and insights as part of learning and growing together. For educational purposes only, not financial advice.
Ever wondered why your weekend trades feel... different? It's not just you; the crypto market actually changes its vibe when the banks close!
You know how shopping malls feel totally different on a quiet Tuesday versus a buzzing Saturday?
🛍️ Well, crypto trading weekday versus weekend is kind of like that!
During the week, big institutional players bring massive liquidity, often leading to more predictable price movements for coins like Bitcoin ($BTC ).
But, on weekends, these big players often step away.
The market then becomes dominated by retail traders (that’s us!), leading to lower trading volume.
This shift is tricky because low volume makes it easier for smaller trades to cause bigger price swings, making 'fakeouts' more common and traditional technical analysis harder to trust.
Therefore, what looks like a strong breakout on a weekend chart might just be a low-volume squeeze, not a genuine trend.
My best friend tip? Always check the volume!
If you see a big move on Bitcoin (BTC) but volume is super low compared to weekday averages, treat it with caution.
This helps us avoid emotional decisions and keeps our capital safer.
Knowing this little secret means you’re already one step ahead, making you feel much more confident navigating those weekend charts! ✨
#WeekendTrading #VolumeAnalysis #TradingStrategy
- Disclaimer: Sharing knowledge and insights as part of learning and growing together. For educational purposes only, not financial advice.
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