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The seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls in the United States for December came in at 256,000, significantly surpassing the market expectation of 160,000. This marks the highest level since March 2024.Key Figures and RevisionsDecember Actual: 256,000.Market Expectation: 160,000.Previous Value: Revised from 227,000 to 212,000.Market ImplicationsThe strong payroll numbers highlight a robust labor market, which could impact Federal Reserve policy and financial markets. Analysts are now closely evaluating the potential for these results to influence inflation concerns and upcoming monetary policy decisions.

ترامب وإطلاق الوعود
عاجل: الرئيس المنتخب ترامب والوعود بالتغييرات الاقتصادية
عاجل: الرئيس المنتخب ترامب يعد بتغييرات اقتصادية جريئة، قائلاً: "سنخفض الضرائب، ونخفض اللوائح، ونرفع الأجور، ونعزز الدخول بوتيرة لم يشهدها العالم من قبل".
أكد الرئيس المنتخب دونالد ترامب التزامه بالسياسات المصممة لتحفيز النمو الاقتصادي وزيادة الأجور. وفي بيان صدر مؤخرًا، أكد على خططه لخفض الضرائب، وإلغاء اللوائح، ورفع الأجور، ودفع نمو الدخل بوتيرة غير مسبوقة.
يتضمن جزء رئيسي من هذه الأجندة تمديد وتوسيع قانون التخفيضات الضريبية والوظائف لعام 2017 (TCJA). يدعو ترامب إلى جعل هذه التخفيضات الضريبية دائمة، بهدف خفض معدلات الضرائب لجميع مستويات الدخل وخفض معدل ضريبة الشركات بشكل أكبر. كما يقترح إلغاء الضرائب على الدخل الإضافي وأجر العمل الإضافي لزيادة أجور العمال.
لتمويل هذه المبادرات، يقترح ترامب رفع الرسوم الجمركية على الواردات، والتي يعتقد أنها ستدعم التصنيع المحلي وخلق فرص العمل. وهذا جزء من استراتيجية أكبر لمعالجة التضخم وخفض تكاليف المعيشة للأميركيين.
ورغم أن هذه المقترحات مصممة لتعزيز النمو الاقتصادي، فقد أثارت جدلاً واسع النطاق. ويزعم المنتقدون أن سياسات مماثلة، مثل التخفيضات الضريبية لعام 2017، أفادت الأثرياء في المقام الأول وساهمت في ارتفاع العجز الفيدرالي. وتشير الدراسات إلى أن الزيادات في الأجور المتوقعة من قانون خفض الضرائب والوظائف لم تتحقق كما كان متوقعاً بالنسبة للعمال العاديين. ومع استعداد الإدارة الجديدة لتنفيذ هذه التدابير، تستمر المناقشات حول تأثيراتها المحتملة على الاقتصاد وتوزيع الدخل والصحة المالية.$XRP
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reaffirming that the market remains in the "Banana Zone," a term he coined to describe periods of rapid price surges in the cryptocurrency market.
the true bull run is yet to come, giving hope to crypto investors around the world.
The “Banana Zone” refers to a market phase when cryptocurrencies experience an accelerated upward price trajectory, with price movements resembling the shape of a banana on a chart. Pal has used this term to illustrate the rapid upward price movements of Bitcoin and other altcoins in various market cycles. He emphasized that the first phase of the Banana Zone occurred last year when Bitcoin experienced its breakout, but this has now transitioned into a consolidation period.
🔸Banana Singularity and Altcoin Season
Raoul Pal’s forecast for the next stage of the Banana Zone, which he terms “Banana Singularity,” anticipates a massive altcoin rally. During this phase, Pal predicts that altcoins will surge in value, with the entire market experiencing a broad upward movement. However, Pal also cautions that such a phase will be followed by another period of consolidation.
“Banana Singularity will be the altcoin season when everything goes up,” Pal remarked in his recent post. His prediction aligns with expectations that altcoins will see a significant rise in the coming months, especially after Bitcoin’s dominance in the market begins to subside. Altseason typically occurs when Bitcoin’s dominance diminishes, paving the way for altcoins to capture a larger share of the market.
Concentration Phase: The Final Stage
The final phase of the Banana Zone, according to Pal, will be the “Concentration Phase,” where the core winners in the crypto space will experience exponential growth. This phase marks the culmination of a bull market, when select cryptocurrencies rise to new all-time highs and the market narrows down to the top performers. The question investors are asking is – what will be the top performers? A prime candidate is Ripple’s XRP token. With Ripple’s battle against the SEC all but over, the market is clear for XRP to be a top performer in this year’s crypto bull run.

Pal had previously called markets with relatively good timing, including his call about the rise in cryptocurrencies back in September 2024. His thoughts have mostly been right on the money as global liquidity has made many upswings: “As global liquidity rises, cryptocurrencies will rise—as will other markets like the Nasdaq,” he said in an earlier post as he reflected on broader macroeconomic factors affecting the crypto market.
🔸Bitcoin’s Recent Price Movement and Market Outlook
The price action of Bitcoin has been very volatile lately, and the cryptocurrency has seen extreme swings. Having appreciated to highs above $102,000 in early January 2025, Bitcoin plunged all the way down below $92,000 and then recovered to approximately $94,800.
While Bitcoin is correcting from its current price levels, both Bitcoin and the general crypto market have risen significantly over the last year, with the total market capitalization growing from $1.8 trillion to $3.4 trillion.
Pal’s insights on the correlation between Bitcoin and global liquidity remain central to his outlook on the market. He has emphasized that, despite short-term market corrections, the overall trajectory for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies remains positive over the long term.
🔸The Future of Crypto: Awaiting Regulatory Developments
Looking ahead to early 2025, Pal’s predictions about the “Banana Singularity” are buoyed by the growing optimism surrounding the crypto space. While regulatory challenges and uncertainty about global economic conditions persist, the potential for a major altcoin rally remains high. Pal’s optimistic view hinges on increasing institutional adoption and the eventual stabilization of regulatory environments.
In conclusion, while the current market phase may seem uncertain due to Bitcoin’s price corrections, the broader trend remains upward, according to Raoul Pal. His “Banana Zone” framework provides a roadmap for crypto investors to anticipate future market movements and work out what crypto to buy, with altcoins poised to take center stage in the coming months. Keep an eye on XRP, it is set to perform strongly in 2025.
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The LA fire is indeed a major disaster with severe economic and social consequences. While the focus should be on safety and supporting those affected, traders can expect market volatility due to such an event. Here’s a prediction on potential impacts and what traders can do:

1. Market Reactions: Economic damage of $57B can affect sectors like insurance, real estate, and local businesses. Supply chains could be disrupted, especially in construction and commodities related to fire recovery. Short-term market downturns are possible, especially if further damage or deaths are reported.

2. Cryptocurrency Impact: Crypto markets may experience high volatility as traders react to news. It could lead to a risk-off sentiment in traditional markets, pushing some investors into safer assets like gold or stablecoins, or a potential short-term dip in crypto assets as investors flee to cash.

3. Recovery Investments: Long-term traders should consider stocks or crypto projects related to disaster recovery, environmental technologies, or insurance sectors. There may be potential for rebound once the immediate impact is absorbed.

4. What to Do as a Trader:

Short-term strategy: Focus on risk management. Avoid making major bets in sectors directly affected by the fire, like real estate or retail in California.

Long-term strategy: Stay with assets you've held, particularly those with intrinsic growth potential like $XTER and $DIONE. Their fundamentals are strong, and they should weather the storm better than riskier investments.

Monitoring the Market: Use market signals to adjust positions. If the market shows signs of further panic, consider diversifying into stablecoins or other low-risk assets.

Stay updated on any ongoing developments and be cautious with trading in the immediate afterm
ath of this disaster.
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