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Fed Pause, CLARITY Act & ETF Pressure Keep Market Cautious
Bitcoin is trading near $67,000 after briefly falling to around $65,800 following the latest Fed Minutes.
It wasn’t a crash. But it’s not showing strong upside either. Right now, the market is careful and defensive.
Fed Update: No Rate Cut Soon
The February Fed Minutes made one thing clear:
• March rate cut chance is only around 6%
• 94% chance rates stay the same
• The tone was slightly strict
After this update, risk appetite became weaker.
Altcoins also struggled:
• ETH near $2,000
• SOL holding around $80
• XRP down sharply in recent days
Now, traders are waiting for the PCE inflation data.
If inflation comes higher
→ more pressure possible.
If inflation cools
→ short bounce possible.
Fed Injected Liquidity — But No Cuts
Even though the Fed sounded strict, it added $18.5B in liquidity through overnight repos.
So the situation looks like this:
Rates → Staying high
Liquidity → Increasing
Rate cuts → Delayed
This mixed signal is keeping markets confused and quiet.
Traders Are Buying Protection
In the options market, traders are buying downside protection.
That means:
They are paying for insurance, In case Bitcoin drops again This shows caution. Not panic. Not excitement. Just risk management.
ETF Investors Are Under Pressure
The average Bitcoin ETF buying price is around $84,000.
At $67K, many ETF investors are about 20% down.
Two possibilities now:
1️⃣ If $65K breaks → some panic selling could happen
2️⃣ If $65K holds → market may slowly stabilize
ETF holdings are only slightly lower than their peak. This means investors are reducing exposure slowly, not rushing out.
CLARITY Act Update
Prediction market odds for the CLARITY Act jumped to 85–90%, then dropped near 55%.
This shows:
• People believe progress is happening
• But timing is still uncertain
It’s positive for the long term, but not an immediate price booster.
Other Risks
Markets are also watching:
• Stress in credit markets
• Oil prices rising above $66
• Weakness in stock markets
So overall risk mood is still sensitive.
Important Levels
Support: $65KResistance: $70K–$72KIf $65K breaks → volatility may increase.If price holds → range trading may continue.
Final View
This is not a panic market. This is a cautious market.
Traders are hedging, protecting, and waiting for clearer signals. Until $65K breaks or $72K is reclaimed, Bitcoin remains in a tight and defensive range.
⚠ Disclaimer
This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before trading derivatives or cryptocurrencies.
#clarityAct #cryptooinsigts #MarketOutlook #CPIdata
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Stańczak came aboard in 2025 after the exit of longtime chief Aya Miyaguchi amid criticism the foundation wasn’t doing enough to push the Ethereum ecosystem.
Stańczak’s tenure began at a turbulent time for the EF. He was brought aboard following the transition of long-time executive director Aya Miyaguchi into a new leadership position amid mounting community criticism that the foundation wasn’t doing enough to aggressively push the Ethereum ecosystem forward.
At the time, detractors pointed to a perceived disconnect between the EF and developers, including conflicts of interests, clashes over strategic direction and frustrations about ETH’s price performance. Such criticisms helped spur a broader leadership restructuring
While Stańczak stressed his confidence in the team’s ability to carry forward the EF’s mission, he also signaled his intention to remain involved in the ecosystem.
“I plan to continue working directly with founders in frontier tech and Ethereum. I want to see and support the realization of the vision that I have talked about over the last years. It is one of the most exciting times to be a builder on Ethereum,” Stańczak wrote.
Read more: Ethereum Foundation’s Aya Miyaguchi Leaving Executive Director Role
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Bitcoin is showing its classic "volatility dance" this week as the U.S. macro landscape delivers a mixed bag of signals. Between a surprisingly hot labor market and cooling inflation, the big question for every trader is: What does the Fed do next?
​Here is your breakdown of the three massive data points from last week that are currently driving the BTC price action.
The NFP "Blowout": Jobs Market Refuses to Cool
The Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report for January (released Feb 11) stunned the markets. While analysts expected a modest +70K, the actual figure came in at 130,000 jobs.​The Impact: Initially, this was bearish for BTC. Why? A resilient labor market gives the Federal Reserve more "cushion" to keep interest rates higher for longer. Higher rates usually strengthen the Dollar and put pressure on "risk-on" assets like Bitcoin.The Unemployment Rate edged down to 4.3% (beating the 4.4% forecast).
Unemployment Rate: The 4.3% Surprise
The Unemployment Rate edged down to 4.3% (beating the 4.4% forecast).
​The Context: This is the lowest level since last July. While good for the economy, it complicates the "Fed Pivot" narrative. Traders who were hoping for aggressive rate cuts in March had to temper their expectations, leading to some sideways "chop" in the $66k–$67k range.
CPI: The Silver Lining for Bulls 📈
Friday brought the much-needed "soft landing" data. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed annual inflation slowing to 2.4%—undershooting the 2.5% forecast.
​The Reaction: This is the bullish catalyst. Gasoline and energy prices saw significant declines, suggesting that despite a strong job market, the actual "heat" in prices is fading. Bitcoin reacted positively to this, attempting to reclaim the $68,000 level as the market priced back in the possibility of a policy easing later this year.
Where is BTC Heading?
​Currently, Bitcoin is trapped in a tug-of-war. The strong labor market acts as a "ceiling" on immediate price surges, while the cooling inflation acts as a "floor."
​If BTC can decisively break and hold above the $68,400 resistance, the next stop could be a test of $72k. However, if the Dollar continues to rally on the back of the jobs data, expect a retest of the $64,500 support zone.
​What’s your move? Are you buying the CPI dip or waiting for more clarity from the Fed? Let me know your targets in the comments! 👇
​#BTC #MacroAnalysis #NFP #CPIdata #CryptoAnalysis
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Crypto traders worldwide closely monitor CPI (Consumer Price Index) releases because inflation data directly influences market sentiment. When inflation rises beyond expectations, central banks may tighten monetary policies, often causing risk assets like crypto to drop. On the other hand, cooling inflation can boost confidence and trigger bullish momentum.
Recently, CPI announcements have created strong volatility across Bitcoin and altcoins, with sharp price swings occurring within minutes of the data release. This highlights how macroeconomics is now deeply connected to the crypto market. Traders are increasingly combining technical analysis with economic calendars to prepare for sudden moves.
Instead of reacting emotionally, many professionals create pre-planned strategies before major CPI events. They consider potential scenarios and adjust leverage accordingly.
As crypto becomes more mainstream, understanding inflation trends is no longer optional — it’s essential. Whether you’re a beginner or experienced investor, watching CPI data could help you stay one step ahead of unpredictable market reactions.
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