oil

Guys, let me explain the recent post Iran fired missiles in the Strait of Hormuz during live drills and even halted part of the strait while nuclear talks were happening...👇
Key Points:
Iran-related risks near the Strait of Hormuz are keeping oil prices volatile, with geopolitical headlines driving short-term direction rather than demand fundamentals.WTI crude remains above the 200-day SMA with consolidation between $62 and $65, while a breakout above resistance could target the $69–$70 zone.Natural gas prices have collapsed toward the $3 support zone after the winter spike, but technical structure suggests a potential rebound from the $2.50–$3 range.
Brent oil prices dipped slightly in Asian trading as investors hedged against an Iranian naval drill near the Strait of Hormuz that could cause a supply disruption. The market remained cautious in anticipation of U.S.-Iran talks on the nuclear issue. Traders are more focused on geopolitical headlines than pure demand trends. Brent oil dipped a bit after Monday’s advance, while WTI crude oil held firm near $63.50. Thin liquidity due to Lunar New Year holidays in major Asian markets also limited directional moves.
Strait of Hormuz is important chokepoint for exports of crude oil by Gulf producers, including Saudi Arabia, UAE, Kuwait, and Iraq. Any military action on this route evokes concerns of shipping problems and justifies a geopolitical risk premium in oil. Nevertheless, there was no immediate supply shock that would have led to sharp rally.
Oil prices are likely to be volatile in near term as sentiment is driven by diplomatic signals. Positive progress in talks could rapidly eliminate risk premium and send prices back to $60. On the other hand, any threat to shipments through Strait of Hormuz could cause a sudden spike. OPEC+ may also react to sustained prices in $65-$70 with an output increase which will cap upside momentum and keep oil trading in a choppy range.
Meanwhile the story of Natural gas is different as the price dropped to the critical level of $3 following the collapse of winter risk premiums. The previous spike above $7.00 diminished as panic buying was wiped out by expectations of warmer weather. This breakdown is indication of forced liquidation and poor demand. Although oil is more susceptible to geopolitical tensions, gas markets are more sensitive to weather and storage effects.
Oil Technical Analysis
WTI Oil Daily Descending Trend Line
The daily chart for WTI crude oil shows bullish price action above $55 in the short term. However, the consolidation between $62 and $65 is increasing uncertainty. Despite this uncertainty, the price remains above the 200-day SMA, and the RSI is consolidating above the mid-level, which increases the possibility of another push higher toward $69. The $69-$70 level remains a strong key resistance in WTI crude. This resistance is indicated by the descending trend line, which is highlighted by the red dotted line on the chart below.
WTI Oil 4 Hour Consolidation
The 4-hour chart also shows that the price is consolidating below $65.50 and looking for the next direction. As long as the price remains above $62, the possibility of an upside breakout remains likely. However, a break below $62 will indicate further downside toward $58. The RSI on the 4-hour chart is consolidating below the midline, which indicates further downside in the short term.
Natural Gas Technical Analysis
Natural Gas Daily Key Support Zone
The daily chart for natural gas shows strong spike during the winter season at around $7.40. Then, prices dropped by more than 50% to $3. Now the price is again rebounding from this support and looking for the next direction. The orange shaded area on daily chart highlights the key support zone, which is seen by the neckline of the cup and handle pattern. Thus, the support region between $2.50 and $3 remains the key zone, which may introduce another rebound to higher levels in natural gas.
Natural Gas 4 Hour Key Support Zone
This support zone is also evident on the 4-hour chart. The chart shows short-term support between $2.60 and $2.90. Historically, natural gas prices have produced a rebound when they come around this level. Moreover, the RSI has remained below the midline over the past 15 days, which increases the possibility of a rebound from current levels in natural gas.
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The United Arab Emirates (UAE) has quietly emerged as one of the more intriguing players in the global Bitcoin landscape not through flashy purchases or seized assets, but through steady industrial-scale mining. According to fresh data from blockchain analytics firm Arkham Intelligence (shared publicly on February 19, 2026) entities linked to the UAE Royal Group are sitting on roughly $453.6 million worth of Bitcoin mined via operations tied to Citadel Mining. After accounting for energy and operational costs, that's an estimated $344 million in unrealized profit. Most of this $BTC remains in their wallets with the last significant outflows recorded about four months ago (around October 2025).
This isn't just another headline-grabbing crypto story. It highlights how a resource-rich nation is leveraging its advantages cheap energy strategic infrastructure, and long-term vision to build a digital reserve in a way that's fundamentally different from most governments.
How Did the UAE Get Here? The Mining Operation Behind the Numbers
Many peoples research on Citadel Mining a large-scale Bitcoin mining company based in Abu Dhabi forms the core of this activity. Ownership traces back to the UAE Royal Group through the International Holding Company (IHC) a major conglomerate with deep ties to Abu Dhabi's leadership (including figures like Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed Al Nahyan). Citadel launched operations around 2022 capitalizing on the UAE's abundant, low-cost energy resources particularly natural gas and renewable integrations in industrial zones.Unlike retail miners battling high electricity bills or competing in crowded data centers, Citadel benefits from economies of scale and favorable local conditions.
Estimates suggest their effective mining cost per Bitcoin has hovered in the $15,000–$20,000 range during much of the operation (far below peak market prices).
This low-cost base is key to the profitability figure:
Total mined value (at current prices, around $67,000–$68,000 per BTC): $453.6 million (roughly 6,778–6,800 BTC held per Arkham's entity tracking). Unrealized profit (after deducting energy and setup costs): $344 million a roughly 76% return on operational expenses.
Arkham's on-chain labeling shows these holdings in clustered wallets under the "UAE Royal Citadel" entity. Daily block rewards (typically a few BTC) flow into these addresses from mining pools, with minimal selling. The strategy appears HODL-oriented: accumulate mined coins as a hedge or strategic asset rather than liquidate for quick cash.
Why This Approach Stands Out Compared to Other Nations
Many countries hold Bitcoin but the "how" matters:
United States & United Kingdom: Primarily from law enforcement seizures (e.g., Silk Road, Bitfinex hacks). Holdings are often auctioned off.
El Salvador: Actively buys Bitcoin on the open market (starting in 2021 at lower prices, now underwater on some tranches despite later gains).
Bhutan & others: Some mining, but smaller scale.
The UAE method is self-generated through mining no taxpayer funds spent on spot buys, no legal seizures. It's essentially converting surplus energy and industrial capacity into digital gold.
This aligns with the country's broader pivot: positioning itself as a global crypto hub with progressive regulations, free zones like Dubai's DMCC and institutional interest (e.g., sovereign wealth funds investing in Bitcoin ETFs).
Earlier Arkham reports (from mid-2025) pegged these holdings higher around $700 million when Bitcoin traded above $100,000. The recent market dip has trimmed the headline value, but the profit margin remains robust because the coins were mined cheaply over time.
What This Means for Bitcoin and the Bigger Picture
This development carries several implications:
Reduced Sell Pressure: Sovereign-linked entities holding rather than dumping mined BTC helps stabilize supply during corrections. When long-term holders (including nation-states) accumulate on dips, it often signals confidence and can precede recoveries. Nation-State Adoption Trend: More governments are viewing Bitcoin as a reserve asset. The UAE's mining route shows a practical path: use existing strengths (energy, capital) to participate without direct market exposure risks. Energy & Geopolitics Angle: In a world shifting toward renewables and energy diversification, mining becomes a way to monetize stranded or low-cost power. The UAE's approach could inspire other oil/gas-rich nations in the Gulf or beyond. Profitability Reality Check: The $344 million unrealized gain underscores mining's potential when done at scale with cheap inputs. But it's worth remembering: mining difficulty rises, halving events cut rewards (next one in 2028), and energy prices fluctuate. Today's profits don't guarantee tomorrow's.
As of mid-February 2026 Bitcoin trades in the $66,000–$68,000 range amid broader market consolidation. The UAE's holdings while modest compared to giants like MicroStrategy or even some seized government stashes add to the narrative of institutional and sovereign accumulation. If they continue holding (as on-chain data suggests), it reinforces Bitcoin's appeal as "digital gold" for forward-thinking states.
Whether this sparks a wave of sovereign mining or remains a UAE-specific story, one thing is clear: nations aren't just watching crypto anymore. Some are quietly mining it and profiting handsomely in the process.
(Insights drawn from Arkham Intelligence's entity tracking and public disclosures, cross-referenced with on-chain patterns and recent reports from sources like CoinGabbar and Namecoin News. Bitcoin prices and holdings are dynamic and approximate as of February 19, 2026.)
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